Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Iceland
Iceland: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.53 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
1.53
Change on year
down 3.1%
World rank
158th
of 236 countries
All-time high
4.16
in 1960
All-time low
1.53
in 1846
Years of data
186
1838–2023
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Iceland, 1838–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
In 2023, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Iceland stood at 1.53.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 3.1% on the previous year and down 20.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Iceland peaked at 4.16 in 1960 and was at its lowest, 1.53, in 1846.
That places Iceland 158th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 186 years of available data.
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Iceland, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1838 | 2.19 | — |
| 1839 | 2.14 | -2.0% |
| 1840 | 2.54 | +18.7% |
| 1841 | 2.92 | +14.6% |
| 1842 | 3.2 | +9.8% |
| 1843 | 2.5 | -21.8% |
| 1844 | 2.63 | +5.3% |
| 1845 | 2.58 | -1.9% |
| 1846 | 1.53 | -40.7% |
| 1847 | 1.83 | +19.1% |
| 1848 | 2.5 | +37.1% |
| 1849 | 2.58 | +3.2% |
| 1850 | 2.61 | +1.2% |
| 1851 | 2.85 | +8.8% |
| 1852 | 2.93 | +3.1% |
| 1853 | 3.03 | +3.2% |
| 1854 | 2.85 | -6.0% |
| 1855 | 2.73 | -4.2% |
| 1856 | 2.58 | -5.4% |
| 1857 | 2.79 | +8.2% |
| 1858 | 2.96 | +6.0% |
| 1859 | 2.45 | -17.2% |
| 1860 | 2.35 | -4.0% |
| 1861 | 2.61 | +11.2% |
| 1862 | 2.67 | +2.4% |
| 1863 | 3.06 | +14.3% |
| 1864 | 3.08 | +0.6% |
| 1865 | 3.07 | -0.1% |
| 1866 | 2.77 | -9.9% |
| 1867 | 2.92 | +5.5% |
| 1868 | 2.41 | -17.5% |
| 1869 | 2.08 | -13.9% |
| 1870 | 2.23 | +7.4% |
| 1871 | 2.07 | -7.0% |
| 1872 | 1.88 | -9.3% |
| 1873 | 2.52 | +34.0% |
| 1874 | 2.61 | +3.6% |
| 1875 | 2.6 | -0.3% |
| 1876 | 2.58 | -0.9% |
| 1877 | 2.45 | -5.1% |
| 1878 | 2.47 | +1.1% |
| 1879 | 2.45 | -0.8% |
| 1880 | 2.26 | -7.8% |
| 1881 | 2.16 | -4.7% |
| 1882 | 1.76 | -18.3% |
| 1883 | 2.08 | +18.1% |
| 1884 | 2.81 | +35.0% |
| 1885 | 2.8 | -0.5% |
| 1886 | 2.66 | -4.9% |
| 1887 | 2.51 | -5.6% |
| 1888 | 2.49 | -0.8% |
| 1889 | 2.85 | +14.6% |
| 1890 | 2.64 | -7.4% |
| 1891 | 3.09 | +16.9% |
| 1892 | 3.26 | +5.6% |
| 1893 | 3.31 | +1.5% |
| 1894 | 2.96 | -10.5% |
| 1895 | 3.25 | +9.8% |
| 1896 | 3.15 | -3.0% |
| 1897 | 3.01 | -4.6% |
| 1898 | 2.9 | -3.6% |
| 1899 | 3.02 | +4.1% |
| 1900 | 2.94 | -2.8% |
| 1901 | 2.9 | -1.3% |
| 1902 | 2.83 | -2.1% |
| 1903 | 2.93 | +3.4% |
| 1904 | 3.22 | +9.7% |
| 1905 | 3.06 | -4.7% |
| 1906 | 3.25 | +6.0% |
| 1907 | 2.99 | -8.0% |
| 1908 | 2.73 | -8.5% |
| 1909 | 2.94 | +7.4% |
| 1910 | 2.81 | -4.3% |
| 1911 | 2.92 | +4.0% |
| 1912 | 2.98 | +2.1% |
| 1913 | 2.99 | +0.1% |
| 1914 | 3.1 | +3.6% |
| 1915 | 3.2 | +3.3% |
| 1916 | 3.16 | -1.1% |
| 1917 | 3.3 | +4.2% |
| 1918 | 3.29 | -0.3% |
| 1919 | 3.05 | -7.1% |
| 1920 | 3.3 | +8.2% |
| 1921 | 3.43 | +3.8% |
| 1922 | 3.35 | -2.4% |
| 1923 | 3.41 | +1.8% |
| 1924 | 3.25 | -4.7% |
| 1925 | 3.31 | +2.0% |
| 1926 | 3.41 | +2.9% |
| 1927 | 3.27 | -4.1% |
| 1928 | 3.16 | -3.2% |
| 1929 | 3.3 | +4.5% |
| 1930 | 3.44 | +4.1% |
| 1931 | 3.35 | -2.6% |
| 1932 | 3.24 | -3.4% |
| 1933 | 2.93 | -9.4% |
| 1934 | 2.92 | -0.3% |
| 1935 | 2.84 | -2.9% |
| 1936 | 2.89 | +1.8% |
| 1937 | 2.72 | -5.9% |
| 1938 | 2.65 | -2.5% |
| 1939 | 2.61 | -1.7% |
| 1940 | 2.68 | +2.7% |
| 1941 | 2.83 | +5.5% |
| 1942 | 3.14 | +11.2% |
| 1943 | 3.35 | +6.5% |
| 1944 | 3.33 | -0.7% |
| 1945 | 3.54 | +6.5% |
| 1946 | 3.5 | -1.1% |
| 1947 | 3.76 | +7.3% |
| 1948 | 3.78 | +0.6% |
| 1949 | 3.84 | +1.7% |
| 1950 | 3.69 | -4.0% |
| 1951 | 3.56 | -3.5% |
| 1952 | 3.66 | +2.7% |
| 1953 | 3.81 | +4.1% |
| 1954 | 3.8 | -0.2% |
| 1955 | 3.89 | +2.4% |
| 1956 | 3.98 | +2.3% |
| 1957 | 4.06 | +1.9% |
| 1958 | 3.95 | -2.6% |
| 1959 | 4.08 | +3.3% |
| 1960 | 4.16 | +2.0% |
| 1961 | 3.8 | -8.7% |
| 1962 | 3.87 | +1.6% |
| 1963 | 3.86 | -0.2% |
| 1964 | 3.76 | -2.5% |
| 1965 | 3.61 | -3.8% |
| 1966 | 3.5 | -3.3% |
| 1967 | 3.2 | -8.6% |
| 1968 | 3 | -6.2% |
| 1969 | 2.92 | -2.6% |
| 1970 | 2.76 | -5.5% |
| 1971 | 2.84 | +2.9% |
| 1972 | 3.02 | +6.4% |
| 1973 | 2.88 | -4.7% |
| 1974 | 2.61 | -9.4% |
| 1975 | 2.59 | -0.8% |
| 1976 | 2.47 | -4.6% |
| 1977 | 2.27 | -8.1% |
| 1978 | 2.3 | +1.5% |
| 1979 | 2.44 | +5.8% |
| 1980 | 2.45 | +0.5% |
| 1981 | 2.3 | -6.2% |
| 1982 | 2.23 | -2.9% |
| 1983 | 2.21 | -1.1% |
| 1984 | 2.05 | -7.1% |
| 1985 | 1.91 | -6.7% |
| 1986 | 1.92 | +0.2% |
| 1987 | 2.03 | +6.1% |
| 1988 | 2.22 | +9.2% |
| 1989 | 2.18 | -1.9% |
| 1990 | 2.27 | +4.1% |
| 1991 | 2.16 | -4.6% |
| 1992 | 2.18 | +0.8% |
| 1993 | 2.19 | +0.5% |
| 1994 | 2.12 | -3.3% |
| 1995 | 2.05 | -3.2% |
| 1996 | 2.09 | +1.7% |
| 1997 | 2.02 | -3.2% |
| 1998 | 2.02 | +0.1% |
| 1999 | 1.98 | -2.3% |
| 2000 | 2.06 | +4.0% |
| 2001 | 1.94 | -5.7% |
| 2002 | 1.92 | -0.8% |
| 2003 | 1.98 | +2.8% |
| 2004 | 2.02 | +2.3% |
| 2005 | 2.03 | +0.4% |
| 2006 | 2.06 | +1.4% |
| 2007 | 2.08 | +0.8% |
| 2008 | 2.14 | +3.0% |
| 2009 | 2.21 | +3.5% |
| 2010 | 2.18 | -1.7% |
| 2011 | 2.01 | -7.4% |
| 2012 | 2.02 | +0.3% |
| 2013 | 1.92 | -4.8% |
| 2014 | 1.91 | -0.4% |
| 2015 | 1.8 | -6.1% |
| 2016 | 1.74 | -3.5% |
| 2017 | 1.7 | -2.1% |
| 2018 | 1.7 | +0.2% |
| 2019 | 1.74 | +2.0% |
| 2020 | 1.71 | -1.6% |
| 2021 | 1.81 | +5.5% |
| 2022 | 1.58 | -12.3% |
| 2023 | 1.53 | -3.1% |
Iceland compared with similar countries
- Iceland's 1.53 is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 1.0× the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Iceland's 1.53 is above the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.48, 1.0× the median. (56 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Iceland changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1846 | -40.7% | 2.58 | 1.53 |
| 1848 | +37.1% | 1.83 | 2.5 |
| 1884 | +35.0% | 2.08 | 2.81 |
| 1873 | +34.0% | 1.88 | 2.52 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1830s | 2.16 | 2.14 | 2.19 | 2 |
| 1840s | 2.48 | 1.53 | 3.2 | 10 |
| 1850s | 2.78 | 2.45 | 3.03 | 10 |
| 1860s | 2.7 | 2.08 | 3.08 | 10 |
| 1870s | 2.39 | 1.88 | 2.61 | 10 |
| 1880s | 2.44 | 1.76 | 2.85 | 10 |
| 1890s | 3.06 | 2.64 | 3.31 | 10 |
| 1900s | 2.98 | 2.73 | 3.25 | 10 |
| 1910s | 3.08 | 2.81 | 3.3 | 10 |
| 1920s | 3.32 | 3.16 | 3.43 | 10 |
| 1930s | 2.96 | 2.61 | 3.44 | 10 |
| 1940s | 3.37 | 2.68 | 3.84 | 10 |
| 1950s | 3.85 | 3.56 | 4.08 | 10 |
| 1960s | 3.57 | 2.92 | 4.16 | 10 |
| 1970s | 2.62 | 2.27 | 3.02 | 10 |
| 1980s | 2.15 | 1.91 | 2.45 | 10 |
| 1990s | 2.11 | 1.98 | 2.27 | 10 |
| 2000s | 2.04 | 1.92 | 2.21 | 10 |
| 2010s | 1.87 | 1.7 | 2.18 | 10 |
| 2020s | 1.66 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Iceland
- 155 Antigua and Barbuda 1.55 compare
- 156 United Kingdom 1.55 compare
- 157 Slovakia 1.55 compare
- 159 Malaysia 1.53 compare
- 160 Liechtenstein 1.52 compare
- 161 Isle of Man 1.51 compare
More population data for Iceland
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -5.08 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.2688 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 408.78 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population 0.4806 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.6617 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.502 (2100)
- Population density 3.6 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 13,661 (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Iceland?
- Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Iceland was 1.53 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Iceland?
- The highest recorded value was 4.16 in 1960.
- What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Iceland?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.53 in 1846.
- How does Iceland rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
- Iceland ranks 158th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Iceland?
- Over the last ten years it is down 20.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Iceland data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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