Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in United States

United States: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.6 in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
1.6
Change on year
down 2.4%
World rank
149th
of 236 countries
All-time high
3.59
in 1958
All-time low
1.59
in 2020
Years of data
91
1933–2023

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in United States, 1933–2023

01234193319782023

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

United States recorded 1.6 for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in 2023.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 2.4% on the previous year and down 11.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in United States peaked at 3.59 in 1958 and was at its lowest, 1.59, in 2020.

That places United States 149th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the middle of the range.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 91 years of available data.

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in United States, year by year

Annual values for Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age in United States, 1933 to 2023.
Year Value Change
1933 2.18 —
1934 2.24 +2.4%
1935 2.21 -1.0%
1936 2.17 -1.9%
1937 2.21 +1.8%
1938 2.28 +3.0%
1939 2.24 -1.7%
1940 2.3 +2.8%
1941 2.41 +4.9%
1942 2.65 +10.0%
1943 2.75 +3.5%
1944 2.59 -5.8%
1945 2.5 -3.1%
1946 2.97 +18.5%
1947 3.33 +12.1%
1948 3.15 -5.3%
1949 3.14 -0.2%
1950 2.93 -6.8%
1951 3.04 +3.7%
1952 3.13 +3.0%
1953 3.2 +2.2%
1954 3.31 +3.6%
1955 3.35 +1.2%
1956 3.46 +3.2%
1957 3.54 +2.2%
1958 3.59 +1.4%
1959 3.58 -0.1%
1960 3.57 -0.4%
1961 3.53 -1.0%
1962 3.39 -4.2%
1963 3.25 -4.0%
1964 3.12 -3.8%
1965 2.86 -8.3%
1966 2.66 -7.1%
1967 2.51 -5.8%
1968 2.42 -3.6%
1969 2.41 -0.1%
1970 2.43 +0.5%
1971 2.24 -7.6%
1972 1.99 -11.2%
1973 1.86 -6.6%
1974 1.81 -2.5%
1975 1.76 -3.0%
1976 1.73 -1.6%
1977 1.77 +2.4%
1978 1.75 -1.2%
1979 1.79 +2.2%
1980 1.81 +1.0%
1981 1.8 -0.7%
1982 1.81 +0.5%
1983 1.78 -1.5%
1984 1.78 +0.0%
1985 1.81 +1.5%
1986 1.81 -0.1%
1987 1.84 +1.8%
1988 1.89 +3.0%
1989 1.96 +3.7%
1990 2.02 +3.0%
1991 2.01 -0.5%
1992 1.99 -0.9%
1993 1.96 -1.4%
1994 1.94 -1.1%
1995 1.92 -1.1%
1996 1.92 -0.2%
1997 1.92 -0.2%
1998 1.94 +1.2%
1999 1.95 +0.5%
2000 1.99 +2.0%
2001 1.97 -0.9%
2002 1.96 -0.4%
2003 1.99 +1.1%
2004 1.99 +0.3%
2005 2 +0.4%
2006 2.05 +2.3%
2007 2.06 +0.4%
2008 2.01 -2.0%
2009 1.95 -3.2%
2010 1.88 -3.5%
2011 1.85 -1.9%
2012 1.83 -0.9%
2013 1.81 -1.2%
2014 1.82 +0.5%
2015 1.8 -0.9%
2016 1.77 -1.5%
2017 1.72 -2.8%
2018 1.69 -2.1%
2019 1.66 -1.8%
2020 1.59 -4.0%
2021 1.61 +1.1%
2022 1.64 +1.9%
2023 1.6 -2.4%

United States compared with similar countries

  • United States's 1.6 is above the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 1.1× the median. (85 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1930s 2.22 2.17 2.28 7
1940s 2.78 2.3 3.33 10
1950s 3.31 2.93 3.59 10
1960s 2.97 2.41 3.57 10
1970s 1.91 1.73 2.43 10
1980s 1.83 1.78 1.96 10
1990s 1.96 1.92 2.02 10
2000s 2 1.95 2.06 10
2010s 1.78 1.66 1.88 10
2020s 1.61 1.59 1.64 4

Countries ranked near United States

  1. 146 Colombia 1.61 compare
  2. 147 Saint Helena 1.61 compare
  3. 148 Turkey 1.6 compare
  4. 150 Ireland 1.59 compare
  5. 151 Brazil 1.58 compare
  6. 152 Aruba 1.57 compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for United States

All data for United States →

Frequently asked questions

What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in United States?
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in United States was 1.6 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in United States?
The highest recorded value was 3.59 in 1958.
What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in United States?
The lowest recorded value was 1.59 in 2020.
How does United States rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
United States ranks 149th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in United States?
Over the last ten years it is down 11.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this United States data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in United States. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/effective-fertility-rate-children-per-woman-who-are-expected-to-survive-until/united-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,723 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed