Long run birth rate in Japan
Japan: Long run birth rate was 6.03 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Long run birth rate in Japan, 1947–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
Japan recorded 6.03 for long run birth rate in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.
That represents a change of down 4.2% on the previous year and down 24.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, long run birth rate in Japan peaked at 35.46 in 1947 and was at its lowest, 6.03, in 2023.
Japan ranks 227th of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Long run birth rate in Japan, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1947 | 35.46 | — |
| 1948 | 34.59 | -2.5% |
| 1949 | 33.96 | -1.8% |
| 1950 | 28.48 | -16.2% |
| 1951 | 25.6 | -10.1% |
| 1952 | 23.66 | -7.6% |
| 1953 | 21.76 | -8.0% |
| 1954 | 20.39 | -6.3% |
| 1955 | 19.67 | -3.5% |
| 1956 | 18.73 | -4.8% |
| 1957 | 17.49 | -6.6% |
| 1958 | 18.2 | +4.1% |
| 1959 | 17.76 | -2.5% |
| 1960 | 17.34 | -2.3% |
| 1961 | 16.9 | -2.5% |
| 1962 | 16.95 | +0.3% |
| 1963 | 17.2 | +1.5% |
| 1964 | 17.67 | +2.7% |
| 1965 | 18.53 | +4.9% |
| 1966 | 14.53 | -21.6% |
| 1967 | 19.2 | +32.1% |
| 1968 | 18.37 | -4.3% |
| 1969 | 18.06 | -1.7% |
| 1970 | 18.3 | +1.3% |
| 1971 | 19.08 | +4.3% |
| 1972 | 19.45 | +2.0% |
| 1973 | 19.75 | +1.5% |
| 1974 | 18.92 | -4.2% |
| 1975 | 17.4 | -8.0% |
| 1976 | 16.36 | -6.0% |
| 1977 | 15.45 | -5.5% |
| 1978 | 14.93 | -3.4% |
| 1979 | 14.27 | -4.4% |
| 1980 | 13.49 | -5.4% |
| 1981 | 12.82 | -4.9% |
| 1982 | 12.52 | -2.4% |
| 1983 | 12.36 | -1.3% |
| 1984 | 12.1 | -2.1% |
| 1985 | 11.51 | -4.9% |
| 1986 | 11.02 | -4.3% |
| 1987 | 10.66 | -3.2% |
| 1988 | 10.32 | -3.3% |
| 1989 | 9.78 | -5.2% |
| 1990 | 9.54 | -2.5% |
| 1991 | 9.56 | +0.2% |
| 1992 | 9.46 | -1.1% |
| 1993 | 9.31 | -1.5% |
| 1994 | 9.61 | +3.2% |
| 1995 | 9.34 | -2.8% |
| 1996 | 9.45 | +1.2% |
| 1997 | 9.39 | -0.6% |
| 1998 | 9.46 | +0.8% |
| 1999 | 9.33 | -1.4% |
| 2000 | 9.42 | +1.0% |
| 2001 | 9.28 | -1.5% |
| 2002 | 9.13 | -1.6% |
| 2003 | 8.91 | -2.3% |
| 2004 | 8.77 | -1.6% |
| 2005 | 8.43 | -3.8% |
| 2006 | 8.56 | +1.5% |
| 2007 | 8.54 | -0.2% |
| 2008 | 8.54 | -0.0% |
| 2009 | 8.38 | -1.8% |
| 2010 | 8.35 | -0.4% |
| 2011 | 8.2 | -1.8% |
| 2012 | 8.11 | -1.1% |
| 2013 | 8.01 | -1.2% |
| 2014 | 7.83 | -2.3% |
| 2015 | 7.82 | -0.2% |
| 2016 | 7.61 | -2.6% |
| 2017 | 7.38 | -3.1% |
| 2018 | 7.18 | -2.7% |
| 2019 | 6.83 | -4.9% |
| 2020 | 6.66 | -2.5% |
| 2021 | 6.45 | -3.1% |
| 2022 | 6.29 | -2.4% |
| 2023 | 6.03 | -4.2% |
Japan compared with similar countries
- Japan's 6.03 is below the median for high income countries, which is 9.6, 63% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Japan's 6.03 is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 15.94, 38% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Long run birth rate in Japan changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1967 | +32.1% | 14.53 | 19.2 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940s | 34.67 | 33.96 | 35.46 | 3 |
| 1950s | 21.17 | 17.49 | 28.48 | 10 |
| 1960s | 17.47 | 14.53 | 19.2 | 10 |
| 1970s | 17.39 | 14.27 | 19.75 | 10 |
| 1980s | 11.66 | 9.78 | 13.49 | 10 |
| 1990s | 9.44 | 9.31 | 9.61 | 10 |
| 2000s | 8.8 | 8.38 | 9.42 | 10 |
| 2010s | 7.73 | 6.83 | 8.35 | 10 |
| 2020s | 6.36 | 6.03 | 6.66 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Japan
More population data for Japan
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -5.09 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.5507 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 103,784 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population -0.5891 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.2372 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.501 (2100)
- Population density 210.83 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 2.83 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is long run birth rate in Japan?
- Long run birth rate in Japan was 6.03 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest long run birth rate recorded in Japan?
- The highest recorded value was 35.46 in 1947.
- What is the lowest long run birth rate recorded in Japan?
- The lowest recorded value was 6.03 in 2023.
- How does Japan rank for long run birth rate?
- Japan ranks 227th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is long run birth rate rising or falling in Japan?
- Over the last ten years it is down 24.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Japan data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Long run birth rate. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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