Natural population growth rate in Guernsey
Guernsey: Natural population growth rate was -0.1% in 2023. ◆ Volatile
Natural population growth rate in Guernsey, 1950–2023
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
Guernsey recorded -0.1% for natural population growth rate in 2023.
That represents a change of down 9.3% on the previous year and down 201.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, natural population growth rate in Guernsey peaked at 0.5% in 1950 and was at its lowest, -0.3%, in 1982.
Guernsey ranks 193rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Natural population growth rate in Guernsey, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 0.5% | — |
| 1951 | 0.5% | -2.8% |
| 1952 | 0.5% | -5.6% |
| 1953 | 0.4% | -22.1% |
| 1954 | 0.4% | +4.5% |
| 1955 | 0.3% | -33.8% |
| 1956 | 0.5% | +99.3% |
| 1957 | 0.3% | -39.5% |
| 1958 | 0.3% | +5.3% |
| 1959 | 0.4% | +10.8% |
| 1960 | 0.4% | +12.6% |
| 1961 | 0.2% | -39.3% |
| 1962 | 0.3% | +37.5% |
| 1963 | 0.5% | +33.9% |
| 1964 | 0.3% | -24.1% |
| 1965 | 0.2% | -41.8% |
| 1966 | 0.3% | +24.6% |
| 1967 | 0.2% | -13.0% |
| 1968 | 0.2% | -19.7% |
| 1969 | 0.2% | +15.0% |
| 1970 | 0.2% | -6.6% |
| 1971 | 0.2% | -2.4% |
| 1972 | 0.1% | -20.0% |
| 1973 | 0.2% | +40.8% |
| 1974 | 0.2% | -24.2% |
| 1975 | 0.1% | -22.1% |
| 1976 | 0.1% | -5.3% |
| 1977 | 0.1% | -9.2% |
| 1978 | 0.1% | -30.9% |
| 1979 | 0.0% | -40.2% |
| 1980 | 0.1% | +85.9% |
| 1981 | -0.0% | -102.2% |
| 1982 | -0.3% | +14733.3% |
| 1983 | 0.1% | -151.3% |
| 1984 | 0.0% | -72.5% |
| 1985 | 0.1% | +143.8% |
| 1986 | 0.1% | +0.8% |
| 1987 | 0.1% | +39.3% |
| 1988 | 0.1% | +16.3% |
| 1989 | 0.2% | +53.2% |
| 1990 | 0.2% | -16.1% |
| 1991 | 0.2% | +13.4% |
| 1992 | 0.2% | -1.2% |
| 1993 | 0.1% | -63.4% |
| 1994 | 0.1% | -35.0% |
| 1995 | 0.1% | +46.8% |
| 1996 | 0.1% | +36.1% |
| 1997 | 0.2% | +82.4% |
| 1998 | 0.2% | +9.9% |
| 1999 | 0.3% | +31.8% |
| 2000 | 0.2% | -39.9% |
| 2001 | 0.1% | -18.0% |
| 2002 | 0.1% | -15.3% |
| 2003 | 0.1% | -17.4% |
| 2004 | 0.1% | +40.0% |
| 2005 | 0.1% | +6.5% |
| 2006 | 0.2% | +12.8% |
| 2007 | 0.2% | -3.0% |
| 2008 | 0.2% | -1.2% |
| 2009 | 0.2% | -0.3% |
| 2010 | 0.2% | +5.7% |
| 2011 | 0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2012 | 0.1% | -32.2% |
| 2013 | 0.1% | +5.0% |
| 2014 | 0.1% | -21.1% |
| 2015 | 0.0% | -65.0% |
| 2016 | -0.0% | -180.4% |
| 2017 | -0.1% | +243.9% |
| 2018 | -0.1% | +5.1% |
| 2019 | -0.1% | -20.9% |
| 2020 | -0.1% | +9.2% |
| 2021 | -0.2% | +138.6% |
| 2022 | -0.1% | -43.9% |
| 2023 | -0.1% | +9.3% |
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Natural population growth rate in Guernsey changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1982 | -14733.3% | -0.0% | -0.3% |
| 2017 | -243.9% | -0.0% | -0.1% |
| 2016 | -180.4% | 0.0% | -0.0% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 10 |
| 1970s | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 10 |
| 1980s | 0.1% | -0.3% | 0.2% | 10 |
| 1990s | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 10 |
| 2000s | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 10 |
| 2010s | 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.1% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Guernsey
More population data for Guernsey
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.1401 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.3758 % change on previous year (2100)
- Number of children under 5, by world region 2,139 people (2100)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.3146 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate 0.0637 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population growth rate, by level of development -0.3% (2100)
- World population growth -0.3% (2100)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.3146 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population aged 25-64 years (thousands), annual growth rate -0.1275 % change on previous year (2025)
- Population aged 14 years or younger (thousands), annual growth rate -1.03 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is natural population growth rate in Guernsey?
- Natural population growth rate in Guernsey was -0.1% in 2023, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest natural population growth rate recorded in Guernsey?
- The highest recorded value was 0.5% in 1950.
- What is the lowest natural population growth rate recorded in Guernsey?
- The lowest recorded value was -0.3% in 1982.
- How does Guernsey rank for natural population growth rate?
- Guernsey ranks 193rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is natural population growth rate rising or falling in Guernsey?
- Over the last ten years it is down 201.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this Guernsey data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Natural population growth rate. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Births minus deaths, as a share of the population. This is the part of population change that comes only from births and deaths, ignoring migration.