Natural population growth rate in Tokelau
Tokelau: Natural population growth rate was 1.4% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Natural population growth rate in Tokelau, 1950–2023
Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, natural population growth rate in Tokelau stood at 1.4%.
The figure is up 6.1% on the previous year and up 22.2% over ten years.
Over the whole period, natural population growth rate in Tokelau peaked at 3.1% in 1962 and was at its lowest, 1.0%, in 2017.
Tokelau ranks 81st of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Natural population growth rate in Tokelau, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 2.2% | — |
| 1951 | 2.3% | +4.1% |
| 1952 | 2.3% | +2.0% |
| 1953 | 2.4% | +4.3% |
| 1954 | 2.5% | +3.3% |
| 1955 | 2.6% | +6.1% |
| 1956 | 2.8% | +5.9% |
| 1957 | 2.9% | +2.9% |
| 1958 | 2.9% | +2.2% |
| 1959 | 3.0% | +2.2% |
| 1960 | 3.1% | +1.5% |
| 1961 | 3.1% | +0.7% |
| 1962 | 3.1% | +0.7% |
| 1963 | 3.0% | -1.7% |
| 1964 | 3.0% | -2.7% |
| 1965 | 2.8% | -4.3% |
| 1966 | 2.7% | -5.3% |
| 1967 | 2.6% | -3.4% |
| 1968 | 2.5% | -3.0% |
| 1969 | 2.4% | -3.1% |
| 1970 | 2.4% | -3.5% |
| 1971 | 2.3% | -3.5% |
| 1972 | 2.1% | -6.6% |
| 1973 | 2.1% | -2.3% |
| 1974 | 2.0% | -1.7% |
| 1975 | 2.0% | -1.4% |
| 1976 | 2.0% | -2.5% |
| 1977 | 1.9% | -0.8% |
| 1978 | 1.9% | -0.4% |
| 1979 | 1.9% | -0.4% |
| 1980 | 1.9% | +1.1% |
| 1981 | 2.0% | +0.4% |
| 1982 | 2.0% | +0.5% |
| 1983 | 2.0% | -0.2% |
| 1984 | 2.0% | +1.4% |
| 1985 | 2.0% | +2.1% |
| 1986 | 2.1% | +4.0% |
| 1987 | 2.2% | +4.3% |
| 1988 | 2.3% | +5.7% |
| 1989 | 2.4% | +4.1% |
| 1990 | 2.5% | +1.4% |
| 1991 | 2.4% | -0.9% |
| 1992 | 2.4% | -2.4% |
| 1993 | 2.4% | +0.2% |
| 1994 | 2.4% | -0.7% |
| 1995 | 2.3% | -0.9% |
| 1996 | 2.3% | -2.4% |
| 1997 | 2.2% | -4.1% |
| 1998 | 2.1% | -4.1% |
| 1999 | 2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2000 | 1.9% | -6.6% |
| 2001 | 1.8% | -6.3% |
| 2002 | 1.7% | -2.7% |
| 2003 | 1.6% | -7.2% |
| 2004 | 1.5% | -8.1% |
| 2005 | 1.3% | -9.2% |
| 2006 | 1.2% | -12.0% |
| 2007 | 1.0% | -15.4% |
| 2008 | 1.0% | +1.1% |
| 2009 | 1.0% | +1.1% |
| 2010 | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 2011 | 1.0% | -0.8% |
| 2012 | 1.0% | +0.3% |
| 2013 | 1.1% | +14.8% |
| 2014 | 1.2% | +2.7% |
| 2015 | 1.1% | -3.8% |
| 2016 | 1.1% | -5.5% |
| 2017 | 1.0% | -8.0% |
| 2018 | 1.1% | +14.0% |
| 2019 | 1.2% | +10.6% |
| 2020 | 1.3% | +7.2% |
| 2021 | 1.3% | +1.1% |
| 2022 | 1.3% | -1.8% |
| 2023 | 1.4% | +6.1% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 10 |
| 1960s | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 10 |
| 1970s | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 10 |
| 1980s | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 10 |
| 1990s | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 10 |
| 2000s | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 10 |
| 2010s | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 10 |
| 2020s | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4 |
Countries ranked near Tokelau
More population data for Tokelau
- Population density 438.5 people per km² (2100)
- World population growth -0.1% (2100)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.4386 % change on previous year (2100)
- Number of children under 5, by world region 227 people (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.0709 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate 0.6321 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate, by level of development -0.1% (2100)
- Population aged 15-24 years (thousands), annual growth rate 3.96 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is natural population growth rate in Tokelau?
- Natural population growth rate in Tokelau was 1.4% in 2023, according to UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest natural population growth rate recorded in Tokelau?
- The highest recorded value was 3.1% in 1962.
- What is the lowest natural population growth rate recorded in Tokelau?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.0% in 2017.
- How does Tokelau rank for natural population growth rate?
- Tokelau ranks 81st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is natural population growth rate rising or falling in Tokelau?
- Over the last ten years it is up 22.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tokelau data come from?
- The figures come from UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Natural population growth rate. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Births minus deaths, as a share of the population. This is the part of population change that comes only from births and deaths, ignoring migration.