Projected population under age 5 in Kenya
Kenya: Projected population under age 5 was 6.40 million in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
6.40 million
Change on year
down 0.7%
World rank
21st
of 236 countries
All-time high
8.05 million
in 2039
All-time low
6.40 million
in 2100
Years of data
77
2024–2100
Projected population under age 5 in Kenya, 2024–2100
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
Kenya recorded 6.40 million for projected population under age 5 in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.7% on the previous year and down 5.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projected population under age 5 in Kenya peaked at 8.05 million in 2039 and was at its lowest, 6.40 million, in 2100.
Kenya ranks 21st of 236 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Projected population under age 5 in Kenya, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7.11 million | — |
| 2025 | 7.20 million | +1.3% |
| 2026 | 7.29 million | +1.3% |
| 2027 | 7.39 million | +1.3% |
| 2028 | 7.48 million | +1.3% |
| 2029 | 7.57 million | +1.2% |
| 2030 | 7.66 million | +1.1% |
| 2031 | 7.74 million | +1.1% |
| 2032 | 7.81 million | +1.0% |
| 2033 | 7.88 million | +0.9% |
| 2034 | 7.94 million | +0.7% |
| 2035 | 7.99 million | +0.6% |
| 2036 | 8.02 million | +0.4% |
| 2037 | 8.04 million | +0.3% |
| 2038 | 8.05 million | +0.1% |
| 2039 | 8.05 million | +0.0% |
| 2040 | 8.05 million | -0.1% |
| 2041 | 8.03 million | -0.2% |
| 2042 | 8.01 million | -0.2% |
| 2043 | 7.99 million | -0.3% |
| 2044 | 7.96 million | -0.3% |
| 2045 | 7.93 million | -0.4% |
| 2046 | 7.90 million | -0.4% |
| 2047 | 7.87 million | -0.4% |
| 2048 | 7.84 million | -0.4% |
| 2049 | 7.81 million | -0.3% |
| 2050 | 7.79 million | -0.2% |
| 2051 | 7.78 million | -0.1% |
| 2052 | 7.78 million | -0.1% |
| 2053 | 7.78 million | -0.0% |
| 2054 | 7.77 million | -0.0% |
| 2055 | 7.78 million | +0.0% |
| 2056 | 7.78 million | +0.0% |
| 2057 | 7.78 million | +0.1% |
| 2058 | 7.79 million | +0.1% |
| 2059 | 7.79 million | +0.0% |
| 2060 | 7.79 million | +0.0% |
| 2061 | 7.79 million | -0.0% |
| 2062 | 7.78 million | -0.1% |
| 2063 | 7.76 million | -0.2% |
| 2064 | 7.74 million | -0.3% |
| 2065 | 7.72 million | -0.3% |
| 2066 | 7.69 million | -0.4% |
| 2067 | 7.66 million | -0.4% |
| 2068 | 7.62 million | -0.5% |
| 2069 | 7.58 million | -0.5% |
| 2070 | 7.54 million | -0.6% |
| 2071 | 7.50 million | -0.6% |
| 2072 | 7.45 million | -0.6% |
| 2073 | 7.41 million | -0.6% |
| 2074 | 7.36 million | -0.6% |
| 2075 | 7.32 million | -0.6% |
| 2076 | 7.28 million | -0.6% |
| 2077 | 7.24 million | -0.6% |
| 2078 | 7.19 million | -0.6% |
| 2079 | 7.15 million | -0.6% |
| 2080 | 7.11 million | -0.6% |
| 2081 | 7.07 million | -0.5% |
| 2082 | 7.04 million | -0.5% |
| 2083 | 7.00 million | -0.5% |
| 2084 | 6.97 million | -0.5% |
| 2085 | 6.94 million | -0.4% |
| 2086 | 6.91 million | -0.4% |
| 2087 | 6.88 million | -0.4% |
| 2088 | 6.86 million | -0.4% |
| 2089 | 6.83 million | -0.4% |
| 2090 | 6.80 million | -0.4% |
| 2091 | 6.77 million | -0.5% |
| 2092 | 6.74 million | -0.5% |
| 2093 | 6.70 million | -0.5% |
| 2094 | 6.67 million | -0.6% |
| 2095 | 6.63 million | -0.6% |
| 2096 | 6.59 million | -0.6% |
| 2097 | 6.54 million | -0.7% |
| 2098 | 6.50 million | -0.7% |
| 2099 | 6.45 million | -0.7% |
| 2100 | 6.40 million | -0.7% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 6.40 million is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1.22 million, 5.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 6.40 million is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 2.60 million, 2.5× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 7.34 million | 7.11 million | 7.57 million | 6 |
| 2030s | 7.92 million | 7.66 million | 8.05 million | 10 |
| 2040s | 7.94 million | 7.81 million | 8.05 million | 10 |
| 2050s | 7.78 million | 7.77 million | 7.79 million | 10 |
| 2060s | 7.71 million | 7.58 million | 7.79 million | 10 |
| 2070s | 7.34 million | 7.15 million | 7.54 million | 10 |
| 2080s | 6.96 million | 6.83 million | 7.11 million | 10 |
| 2090s | 6.64 million | 6.45 million | 6.80 million | 10 |
| 2100s | 6.40 million | 6.40 million | 6.40 million | 1 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
More population data for Kenya
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.0288 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -2.22 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.0288 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate 0.1094 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 85,212 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population 1.9 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.7363 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.038 (2100)
- Population density 183.07 (2100)
- Population growth rate by level of development -0.038 (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projected population under age 5 in Kenya?
- Projected population under age 5 in Kenya was 6.40 million in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projected population under age 5 recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 8.05 million in 2039.
- What is the lowest projected population under age 5 recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 6.40 million in 2100.
- How does Kenya rank for projected population under age 5?
- Kenya ranks 21st out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projected population under age 5 rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is down 5.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Projected population under age 5. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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