China vs Nigeria: Population long run with projections

China
633.37 million
in 2100
Nigeria
476.75 million
in 2100
China rank
2nd
Nigeria rank
4th

Population long run with projections over time

  • China
  • Nigeria
250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B1.2B1.5B202420622100

How they compare

China currently reports 633.37 million against 476.75 million in Nigeria, a difference of 156.62 million.

That makes China's figure about 1.3 times Nigeria's.

Across all 77 years both countries report, China has been ahead every year.

China ranks 2nd and Nigeria ranks 4th of 236 countries.

China has averaged higher in every one of the 9 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade China Nigeria Difference Ahead
2020s 1.41 billion 244.95 million 1.17 billion China
2030s 1.38 billion 285.12 million 1.09 billion China
2040s 1.31 billion 334.09 million 974.58 million China
2050s 1.21 billion 377.97 million 829.03 million China
2060s 1.07 billion 415.62 million 657.30 million China
2070s 940.90 million 445.32 million 495.59 million China
2080s 812.90 million 465.05 million 347.85 million China
2090s 693.77 million 474.70 million 219.07 million China
2100s 633.37 million 476.75 million 156.62 million China

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher population long run with projections, China or Nigeria?
China, at 633.37 million against 476.75 million in Nigeria as of 2100.
What is the difference in population long run with projections between China and Nigeria?
156.62 million, with China ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for China and Nigeria?
77 years are reported by both, from 2024 to 2100.
How do China and Nigeria rank globally for population long run with projections?
China ranks 2nd and Nigeria ranks 4th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
Our World in Data, published as Population long run with projections. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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China vs Nigeria: Population long run with projections. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/compare/population-long-run-with-projections/china/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Population long run with projections
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,172 data points, 2024–2100
Last refreshed