Population long run with projections in China
China: Population long run with projections was 633.37 million in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
633.37 million
Change on year
down 1.7%
World rank
2nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
1.42 billion
in 2024
All-time low
633.37 million
in 2100
Years of data
77
2024–2100
Population long run with projections in China, 2024–2100
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
China recorded 633.37 million for population long run with projections in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.7% on the previous year and down 15.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, population long run with projections in China peaked at 1.42 billion in 2024 and was at its lowest, 633.37 million, in 2100.
That places China 2nd out of 236 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Population long run with projections in China, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 1.42 billion | — |
| 2025 | 1.42 billion | -0.2% |
| 2026 | 1.41 billion | -0.2% |
| 2027 | 1.41 billion | -0.2% |
| 2028 | 1.41 billion | -0.3% |
| 2029 | 1.40 billion | -0.3% |
| 2030 | 1.40 billion | -0.3% |
| 2031 | 1.39 billion | -0.3% |
| 2032 | 1.39 billion | -0.3% |
| 2033 | 1.38 billion | -0.4% |
| 2034 | 1.38 billion | -0.4% |
| 2035 | 1.37 billion | -0.4% |
| 2036 | 1.37 billion | -0.4% |
| 2037 | 1.36 billion | -0.4% |
| 2038 | 1.36 billion | -0.4% |
| 2039 | 1.35 billion | -0.5% |
| 2040 | 1.34 billion | -0.5% |
| 2041 | 1.34 billion | -0.5% |
| 2042 | 1.33 billion | -0.5% |
| 2043 | 1.32 billion | -0.6% |
| 2044 | 1.31 billion | -0.6% |
| 2045 | 1.31 billion | -0.6% |
| 2046 | 1.30 billion | -0.6% |
| 2047 | 1.29 billion | -0.7% |
| 2048 | 1.28 billion | -0.7% |
| 2049 | 1.27 billion | -0.8% |
| 2050 | 1.26 billion | -0.8% |
| 2051 | 1.25 billion | -0.8% |
| 2052 | 1.24 billion | -0.9% |
| 2053 | 1.23 billion | -0.9% |
| 2054 | 1.21 billion | -1.0% |
| 2055 | 1.20 billion | -1.0% |
| 2056 | 1.19 billion | -1.1% |
| 2057 | 1.18 billion | -1.1% |
| 2058 | 1.16 billion | -1.1% |
| 2059 | 1.15 billion | -1.2% |
| 2060 | 1.14 billion | -1.2% |
| 2061 | 1.12 billion | -1.2% |
| 2062 | 1.11 billion | -1.2% |
| 2063 | 1.09 billion | -1.3% |
| 2064 | 1.08 billion | -1.3% |
| 2065 | 1.07 billion | -1.3% |
| 2066 | 1.05 billion | -1.3% |
| 2067 | 1.04 billion | -1.3% |
| 2068 | 1.03 billion | -1.3% |
| 2069 | 1.01 billion | -1.3% |
| 2070 | 998.78 million | -1.3% |
| 2071 | 985.81 million | -1.3% |
| 2072 | 972.91 million | -1.3% |
| 2073 | 960.05 million | -1.3% |
| 2074 | 947.25 million | -1.3% |
| 2075 | 934.47 million | -1.3% |
| 2076 | 921.68 million | -1.4% |
| 2077 | 908.88 million | -1.4% |
| 2078 | 896.04 million | -1.4% |
| 2079 | 883.17 million | -1.4% |
| 2080 | 870.25 million | -1.5% |
| 2081 | 857.33 million | -1.5% |
| 2082 | 844.44 million | -1.5% |
| 2083 | 831.61 million | -1.5% |
| 2084 | 818.82 million | -1.5% |
| 2085 | 806.12 million | -1.6% |
| 2086 | 793.56 million | -1.6% |
| 2087 | 781.15 million | -1.6% |
| 2088 | 768.90 million | -1.6% |
| 2089 | 756.81 million | -1.6% |
| 2090 | 744.90 million | -1.6% |
| 2091 | 733.18 million | -1.6% |
| 2092 | 721.61 million | -1.6% |
| 2093 | 710.19 million | -1.6% |
| 2094 | 698.89 million | -1.6% |
| 2095 | 687.72 million | -1.6% |
| 2096 | 676.66 million | -1.6% |
| 2097 | 665.70 million | -1.6% |
| 2098 | 654.83 million | -1.6% |
| 2099 | 644.05 million | -1.6% |
| 2100 | 633.37 million | -1.7% |
China compared with similar countries
- China's 633.37 million is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 5.55 million, 114.2× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- China's 633.37 million is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 1.97 million, 321.0× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 1.41 billion | 1.40 billion | 1.42 billion | 6 |
| 2030s | 1.38 billion | 1.35 billion | 1.40 billion | 10 |
| 2040s | 1.31 billion | 1.27 billion | 1.34 billion | 10 |
| 2050s | 1.21 billion | 1.15 billion | 1.26 billion | 10 |
| 2060s | 1.07 billion | 1.01 billion | 1.14 billion | 10 |
| 2070s | 940.90 million | 883.17 million | 998.78 million | 10 |
| 2080s | 812.90 million | 756.81 million | 870.25 million | 10 |
| 2090s | 693.77 million | 644.05 million | 744.90 million | 10 |
| 2100s | 633.37 million | 633.37 million | 633.37 million | 1 |
Countries ranked near China
More population data for China
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -1.66 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -12.97 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -1.66 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -1.19 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 1.31 million Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population -0.1671 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.3489 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -1.68 (2100)
- Population density 67.46 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 15.54 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is population long run with projections in China?
- Population long run with projections in China was 633.37 million in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest population long run with projections recorded in China?
- The highest recorded value was 1.42 billion in 2024.
- What is the lowest population long run with projections recorded in China?
- The lowest recorded value was 633.37 million in 2100.
- How does China rank for population long run with projections?
- China ranks 2nd out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
- Is population long run with projections rising or falling in China?
- Over the last ten years it is down 15.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this China data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Population long run with projections. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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