Projected population under age 5 in China
China: Projected population under age 5 was 15.54 million in 2100. ▼ Falling
Latest (2100)
15.54 million
Change on year
down 0.3%
World rank
8th
of 236 countries
All-time high
51.96 million
in 2024
All-time low
15.54 million
in 2100
Years of data
77
2024–2100
Projected population under age 5 in China, 2024–2100
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
The most recent figure for projected population under age 5 in China is 15.54 million, measured in 2100. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.
That represents a change of down 0.3% on the previous year and down 13.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, projected population under age 5 in China peaked at 51.96 million in 2024 and was at its lowest, 15.54 million, in 2100.
That places China 8th out of 236 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Projected population under age 5 in China, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.96 million | — |
| 2025 | 47.52 million | -8.5% |
| 2026 | 45.05 million | -5.2% |
| 2027 | 43.69 million | -3.0% |
| 2028 | 43.02 million | -1.5% |
| 2029 | 42.60 million | -1.0% |
| 2030 | 42.22 million | -0.9% |
| 2031 | 41.92 million | -0.7% |
| 2032 | 41.68 million | -0.6% |
| 2033 | 41.53 million | -0.4% |
| 2034 | 41.47 million | -0.2% |
| 2035 | 41.49 million | +0.1% |
| 2036 | 41.59 million | +0.2% |
| 2037 | 41.76 million | +0.4% |
| 2038 | 42.00 million | +0.6% |
| 2039 | 42.27 million | +0.7% |
| 2040 | 42.55 million | +0.6% |
| 2041 | 42.79 million | +0.6% |
| 2042 | 42.99 million | +0.5% |
| 2043 | 43.13 million | +0.3% |
| 2044 | 43.18 million | +0.1% |
| 2045 | 43.12 million | -0.1% |
| 2046 | 42.91 million | -0.5% |
| 2047 | 42.51 million | -0.9% |
| 2048 | 41.89 million | -1.5% |
| 2049 | 41.03 million | -2.1% |
| 2050 | 39.96 million | -2.6% |
| 2051 | 38.71 million | -3.1% |
| 2052 | 37.31 million | -3.6% |
| 2053 | 35.81 million | -4.0% |
| 2054 | 34.28 million | -4.3% |
| 2055 | 32.74 million | -4.5% |
| 2056 | 31.28 million | -4.5% |
| 2057 | 29.92 million | -4.3% |
| 2058 | 28.69 million | -4.1% |
| 2059 | 27.62 million | -3.7% |
| 2060 | 26.73 million | -3.2% |
| 2061 | 26.00 million | -2.7% |
| 2062 | 25.43 million | -2.2% |
| 2063 | 25.02 million | -1.6% |
| 2064 | 24.74 million | -1.1% |
| 2065 | 24.58 million | -0.7% |
| 2066 | 24.51 million | -0.3% |
| 2067 | 24.51 million | +0.0% |
| 2068 | 24.56 million | +0.2% |
| 2069 | 24.63 million | +0.3% |
| 2070 | 24.70 million | +0.3% |
| 2071 | 24.78 million | +0.3% |
| 2072 | 24.83 million | +0.2% |
| 2073 | 24.85 million | +0.1% |
| 2074 | 24.84 million | -0.1% |
| 2075 | 24.78 million | -0.2% |
| 2076 | 24.67 million | -0.5% |
| 2077 | 24.49 million | -0.7% |
| 2078 | 24.25 million | -1.0% |
| 2079 | 23.94 million | -1.3% |
| 2080 | 23.56 million | -1.6% |
| 2081 | 23.11 million | -1.9% |
| 2082 | 22.62 million | -2.1% |
| 2083 | 22.08 million | -2.4% |
| 2084 | 21.50 million | -2.6% |
| 2085 | 20.91 million | -2.8% |
| 2086 | 20.30 million | -2.9% |
| 2087 | 19.70 million | -3.0% |
| 2088 | 19.11 million | -3.0% |
| 2089 | 18.54 million | -3.0% |
| 2090 | 18.02 million | -2.8% |
| 2091 | 17.55 million | -2.6% |
| 2092 | 17.13 million | -2.4% |
| 2093 | 16.76 million | -2.2% |
| 2094 | 16.45 million | -1.9% |
| 2095 | 16.18 million | -1.6% |
| 2096 | 15.96 million | -1.3% |
| 2097 | 15.80 million | -1.0% |
| 2098 | 15.68 million | -0.8% |
| 2099 | 15.59 million | -0.5% |
| 2100 | 15.54 million | -0.3% |
China compared with similar countries
- China's 15.54 million is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 313,362, 49.6× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- China's 15.54 million is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 97,537, 159.3× the median. (37 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 45.64 million | 42.60 million | 51.96 million | 6 |
| 2030s | 41.79 million | 41.47 million | 42.27 million | 10 |
| 2040s | 42.61 million | 41.03 million | 43.18 million | 10 |
| 2050s | 33.63 million | 27.62 million | 39.96 million | 10 |
| 2060s | 25.07 million | 24.51 million | 26.73 million | 10 |
| 2070s | 24.61 million | 23.94 million | 24.85 million | 10 |
| 2080s | 21.14 million | 18.54 million | 23.56 million | 10 |
| 2090s | 16.51 million | 15.59 million | 18.02 million | 10 |
| 2100s | 15.54 million | 15.54 million | 15.54 million | 1 |
Countries ranked near China
More population data for China
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -1.66 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -12.97 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -1.66 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -1.19 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 1.31 million Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population -0.1671 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.3489 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -1.68 (2100)
- Population density 67.46 (2100)
- Population growth rate by level of development -1.68 (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is projected population under age 5 in China?
- Projected population under age 5 in China was 15.54 million in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest projected population under age 5 recorded in China?
- The highest recorded value was 51.96 million in 2024.
- What is the lowest projected population under age 5 recorded in China?
- The lowest recorded value was 15.54 million in 2100.
- How does China rank for projected population under age 5?
- China ranks 8th out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
- Is projected population under age 5 rising or falling in China?
- Over the last ten years it is down 13.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this China data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Projected population under age 5. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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