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Projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia

Ethiopia: Projected population under age 5 was 23.22 million in 2100. ▲ Rising

Latest (2100)
23.22 million
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
5th
of 236 countries
All-time high
24.17 million
in 2077
All-time low
19.39 million
in 2024
Years of data
77
2024–2100

Projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia, 2024–2100

05.0M10.0M15.0M20.0M25.0M202420622100

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

Ethiopia recorded 23.22 million for projected population under age 5 in 2100.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.2% on the previous year and down 2.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia peaked at 24.17 million in 2077 and was at its lowest, 19.39 million, in 2024.

Ethiopia ranks 5th of 236 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 77 years of available data.

Projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia, year by year

Year Value Change
2024 19.39 million —
2025 19.65 million +1.4%
2026 19.88 million +1.1%
2027 20.09 million +1.1%
2028 20.28 million +1.0%
2029 20.46 million +0.9%
2030 20.63 million +0.8%
2031 20.79 million +0.8%
2032 20.93 million +0.7%
2033 21.06 million +0.6%
2034 21.17 million +0.5%
2035 21.28 million +0.5%
2036 21.38 million +0.5%
2037 21.49 million +0.5%
2038 21.60 million +0.5%
2039 21.72 million +0.6%
2040 21.86 million +0.6%
2041 22.00 million +0.7%
2042 22.16 million +0.7%
2043 22.33 million +0.8%
2044 22.51 million +0.8%
2045 22.67 million +0.7%
2046 22.83 million +0.7%
2047 22.98 million +0.6%
2048 23.12 million +0.6%
2049 23.25 million +0.6%
2050 23.37 million +0.5%
2051 23.48 million +0.5%
2052 23.59 million +0.5%
2053 23.68 million +0.4%
2054 23.76 million +0.3%
2055 23.82 million +0.3%
2056 23.88 million +0.2%
2057 23.93 million +0.2%
2058 23.97 million +0.2%
2059 24.00 million +0.1%
2060 24.04 million +0.1%
2061 24.07 million +0.1%
2062 24.09 million +0.1%
2063 24.10 million +0.1%
2064 24.11 million +0.0%
2065 24.11 million +0.0%
2066 24.12 million +0.0%
2067 24.12 million +0.0%
2068 24.13 million +0.0%
2069 24.13 million +0.0%
2070 24.13 million +0.0%
2071 24.13 million +0.0%
2072 24.13 million +0.0%
2073 24.14 million +0.0%
2074 24.15 million +0.0%
2075 24.16 million +0.0%
2076 24.17 million +0.0%
2077 24.17 million +0.0%
2078 24.16 million -0.0%
2079 24.14 million -0.1%
2080 24.11 million -0.1%
2081 24.08 million -0.1%
2082 24.05 million -0.1%
2083 24.02 million -0.1%
2084 23.98 million -0.2%
2085 23.94 million -0.2%
2086 23.91 million -0.2%
2087 23.86 million -0.2%
2088 23.81 million -0.2%
2089 23.75 million -0.2%
2090 23.71 million -0.2%
2091 23.66 million -0.2%
2092 23.62 million -0.2%
2093 23.57 million -0.2%
2094 23.52 million -0.2%
2095 23.47 million -0.2%
2096 23.43 million -0.2%
2097 23.38 million -0.2%
2098 23.33 million -0.2%
2099 23.27 million -0.2%
2100 23.22 million -0.2%

Ethiopia compared with similar countries

  • Ethiopia's 23.22 million is above the median for low income countries, which is 3.85 million, 6.0× the median. (25 countries reporting)
  • Ethiopia's 23.22 million is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 2.60 million, 8.9× the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2020s 19.96 million 19.39 million 20.46 million 6
2030s 21.20 million 20.63 million 21.72 million 10
2040s 22.57 million 21.86 million 23.25 million 10
2050s 23.75 million 23.37 million 24.00 million 10
2060s 24.10 million 24.04 million 24.13 million 10
2070s 24.15 million 24.13 million 24.17 million 10
2080s 23.95 million 23.75 million 24.11 million 10
2090s 23.50 million 23.27 million 23.71 million 10
2100s 23.22 million 23.22 million 23.22 million 1

Countries ranked near Ethiopia

  1. 2 Democratic Republic of Congo 33.44 million compare
  2. 3 Pakistan 32.24 million compare
  3. 4 Nigeria 32.05 million compare
  4. 6 Tanzania 20.58 million compare
  5. 7 United States 19.91 million compare
  6. 8 China 15.54 million compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Ethiopia

All data for Ethiopia →

Frequently asked questions

What is projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia?
Projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia was 23.22 million in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest projected population under age 5 recorded in Ethiopia?
The highest recorded value was 24.17 million in 2077.
What is the lowest projected population under age 5 recorded in Ethiopia?
The lowest recorded value was 19.39 million in 2024.
How does Ethiopia rank for projected population under age 5?
Ethiopia ranks 5th out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
Is projected population under age 5 rising or falling in Ethiopia?
Over the last ten years it is down 2.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Ethiopia data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Projected population under age 5. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Projected population under age 5 in Ethiopia. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/projected-population-under-age-5/ethiopia/

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About this data

Indicator
Projected population under age 5
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,172 data points, 2024–2100
Last refreshed