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Projected population under age 5 in Nigeria

Nigeria: Projected population under age 5 was 32.05 million in 2100. ▼ Falling

Latest (2100)
32.05 million
Change on year
down 0.5%
World rank
4th
of 236 countries
All-time high
38.25 million
in 2043
All-time low
32.05 million
in 2100
Years of data
77
2024–2100

Projected population under age 5 in Nigeria, 2024–2100

010.0M20.0M30.0M40.0M202420622100

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

In 2100, projected population under age 5 in Nigeria stood at 32.05 million. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.

The figure is down 0.5% on the previous year and down 4.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, projected population under age 5 in Nigeria peaked at 38.25 million in 2043 and was at its lowest, 32.05 million, in 2100.

That places Nigeria 4th out of 236 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.

Projected population under age 5 in Nigeria, year by year

Year Value Change
2024 33.83 million —
2025 34.22 million +1.2%
2026 34.64 million +1.2%
2027 35.02 million +1.1%
2028 35.37 million +1.0%
2029 35.70 million +0.9%
2030 36.03 million +0.9%
2031 36.33 million +0.8%
2032 36.63 million +0.8%
2033 36.91 million +0.8%
2034 37.16 million +0.7%
2035 37.39 million +0.6%
2036 37.61 million +0.6%
2037 37.78 million +0.5%
2038 37.93 million +0.4%
2039 38.06 million +0.3%
2040 38.16 million +0.3%
2041 38.22 million +0.2%
2042 38.25 million +0.1%
2043 38.25 million +0.0%
2044 38.23 million -0.1%
2045 38.19 million -0.1%
2046 38.15 million -0.1%
2047 38.10 million -0.1%
2048 38.04 million -0.1%
2049 37.99 million -0.2%
2050 37.93 million -0.1%
2051 37.89 million -0.1%
2052 37.85 million -0.1%
2053 37.82 million -0.1%
2054 37.78 million -0.1%
2055 37.74 million -0.1%
2056 37.70 million -0.1%
2057 37.66 million -0.1%
2058 37.61 million -0.1%
2059 37.57 million -0.1%
2060 37.53 million -0.1%
2061 37.48 million -0.1%
2062 37.43 million -0.2%
2063 37.36 million -0.2%
2064 37.27 million -0.2%
2065 37.17 million -0.3%
2066 37.06 million -0.3%
2067 36.95 million -0.3%
2068 36.84 million -0.3%
2069 36.72 million -0.3%
2070 36.60 million -0.3%
2071 36.47 million -0.3%
2072 36.34 million -0.4%
2073 36.19 million -0.4%
2074 36.05 million -0.4%
2075 35.90 million -0.4%
2076 35.75 million -0.4%
2077 35.59 million -0.4%
2078 35.43 million -0.4%
2079 35.28 million -0.4%
2080 35.12 million -0.4%
2081 34.96 million -0.5%
2082 34.81 million -0.4%
2083 34.65 million -0.4%
2084 34.50 million -0.4%
2085 34.35 million -0.4%
2086 34.20 million -0.4%
2087 34.05 million -0.4%
2088 33.90 million -0.4%
2089 33.75 million -0.4%
2090 33.60 million -0.4%
2091 33.45 million -0.4%
2092 33.29 million -0.5%
2093 33.13 million -0.5%
2094 32.97 million -0.5%
2095 32.81 million -0.5%
2096 32.66 million -0.5%
2097 32.51 million -0.5%
2098 32.37 million -0.4%
2099 32.21 million -0.5%
2100 32.05 million -0.5%

Nigeria compared with similar countries

  • Nigeria's 32.05 million is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 1.22 million, 26.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Nigeria's 32.05 million is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 2.60 million, 12.3× the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2020s 34.80 million 33.83 million 35.70 million 6
2030s 37.19 million 36.03 million 38.06 million 10
2040s 38.16 million 37.99 million 38.25 million 10
2050s 37.76 million 37.57 million 37.93 million 10
2060s 37.18 million 36.72 million 37.53 million 10
2070s 35.96 million 35.28 million 36.60 million 10
2080s 34.43 million 33.75 million 35.12 million 10
2090s 32.90 million 32.21 million 33.60 million 10
2100s 32.05 million 32.05 million 32.05 million 1

Countries ranked near Nigeria

  1. 1 India 66.77 million compare
  2. 2 Democratic Republic of Congo 33.44 million compare
  3. 3 Pakistan 32.24 million compare
  4. 5 Ethiopia 23.22 million compare
  5. 6 Tanzania 20.58 million compare
  6. 7 United States 19.91 million compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Nigeria

All data for Nigeria →

Frequently asked questions

What is projected population under age 5 in Nigeria?
Projected population under age 5 in Nigeria was 32.05 million in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest projected population under age 5 recorded in Nigeria?
The highest recorded value was 38.25 million in 2043.
What is the lowest projected population under age 5 recorded in Nigeria?
The lowest recorded value was 32.05 million in 2100.
How does Nigeria rank for projected population under age 5?
Nigeria ranks 4th out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
Is projected population under age 5 rising or falling in Nigeria?
Over the last ten years it is down 4.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Nigeria data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Projected population under age 5. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Projected population under age 5 in Nigeria. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/projected-population-under-age-5/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Projected population under age 5
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,172 data points, 2024–2100
Last refreshed