China vs United States: Projected population under age 5

China
15.54 million
in 2100
United States
19.91 million
in 2100
China rank
8th
United States rank
7th

Projected population under age 5 over time

  • China
  • United States
20.0M30.0M40.0M50.0M202420622100

How they compare

United States currently reports 19.91 million against 15.54 million in China, a difference of 4.37 million.

That makes United States's figure about 1.3 times China's.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 77 shared years of data; in 2024 it was China ahead.

China ranks 8th and United States ranks 7th of 236 countries.

Across the 9 decades both report, China averaged higher in 7 and United States in 2.

Head to head by decade

Decade China United States Difference Ahead
2020s 45.64 million 18.62 million 27.02 million China
2030s 41.79 million 19.17 million 22.63 million China
2040s 42.61 million 19.86 million 22.75 million China
2050s 33.63 million 19.21 million 14.42 million China
2060s 25.07 million 19.25 million 5.82 million China
2070s 24.61 million 19.77 million 4.84 million China
2080s 21.14 million 19.70 million 1.45 million China
2090s 16.51 million 19.73 million 3.22 million United States
2100s 15.54 million 19.91 million 4.37 million United States

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher projected population under age 5, China or United States?
United States, at 19.91 million against 15.54 million in China as of 2100.
What is the difference in projected population under age 5 between China and United States?
4.37 million, with United States ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for China and United States?
77 years are reported by both, from 2024 to 2100.
How do China and United States rank globally for projected population under age 5?
China ranks 8th and United States ranks 7th of 236 countries.
Where does this data come from?
Our World in Data, published as Projected population under age 5. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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China vs United States: Projected population under age 5. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/compare/projected-population-under-age-5/china/united-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Projected population under age 5
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,172 data points, 2024–2100
Last refreshed