Brazil vs China (People’s Republic of): Population projections

Brazil
227.52 million Persons
in 2061
China (People’s Republic of)
998.78 million Persons
in 2070
Brazil rank
6th
China (People’s Republic of) rank
3rd

Population projections over time

  • Brazil
  • China (People’s Republic of)
250.0M500.0M750.0M1.0B1.2B1.5B202420472070

How they compare

China (People’s Republic of) currently reports 998.78 million Persons against 227.52 million Persons in Brazil, a difference of 771.26 million Persons.

That makes China (People’s Republic of)'s figure about 4.4 times Brazil's.

Across all 38 years both countries report, China (People’s Republic of) has been ahead every year.

Brazil ranks 6th and China (People’s Republic of) ranks 3rd of 43 countries.

China (People’s Republic of) has averaged higher in every one of the 5 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Brazil China (People’s Republic of) Difference Ahead
2020s 220.85 million Persons 1.41 billion Persons 1.19 billion Persons China (People’s Republic of)
2030s 228.56 million Persons 1.38 billion Persons 1.15 billion Persons China (People’s Republic of)
2040s 232.85 million Persons 1.31 billion Persons 1.08 billion Persons China (People’s Republic of)
2050s 231.30 million Persons 1.21 billion Persons 975.71 million Persons China (People’s Republic of)
2060s 227.90 million Persons 1.13 billion Persons 900.25 million Persons China (People’s Republic of)

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher population projections, Brazil or China (People’s Republic of)?
China (People’s Republic of), at 998.78 million Persons against 227.52 million Persons in Brazil as of 2070.
What is the difference in population projections between Brazil and China (People’s Republic of)?
771.26 million Persons, with China (People’s Republic of) ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Brazil and China (People’s Republic of)?
38 years are reported by both, from 2024 to 2061.
How do Brazil and China (People’s Republic of) rank globally for population projections?
Brazil ranks 6th and China (People’s Republic of) ranks 3rd of 43 countries.
Where does this data come from?
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as Population projections. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Brazil vs China (People’s Republic of): Population projections. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 20 August 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/compare/population-projections/brazil/china/

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About this data

Indicator
Population projections
Unit
Persons
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
56 places, 2,581 data points, 2024–2070
Last refreshed

This dataset presents annual population projections data up to 2070 by sex and five year age groups as well as the share of children, youth, the elderly, old-age and total dependency ratios. The data is available for all member countries as well as for the EU27 and G20 countries, Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa and the World total. The data refer to mid-year estimates of the population. Population projections are, in most countries, according to medium variant. See country details for the variants retained for each demographic component of total fertility, life expectancy at birth and net annual migration) in Population projection metadata.