China (People’s Republic of) vs OECD: Population projections

China (People’s Republic of)
998.78 million Persons
in 2070
OECD
1.46 billion Persons
in 2061
China (People’s Republic of) rank
3rd
OECD rank
2nd

Population projections over time

  • China (People’s Republic of)
  • OECD
0500.0M1.0B1.5B202420472070

How they compare

OECD currently reports 1.46 billion Persons against 998.78 million Persons in China (People’s Republic of), a difference of 465.91 million Persons.

That makes OECD's figure about 1.5 times China (People’s Republic of)'s.

The two have swapped places 1 time across 38 shared years of data; in 2024 it was China (People’s Republic of) ahead.

China (People’s Republic of) ranks 3rd and OECD ranks 2nd of 43 countries.

OECD has averaged higher in every one of the 5 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade China (People’s Republic of) OECD Difference Ahead
2020s 1.41 billion Persons 1.41 billion Persons 151,667 Persons OECD
2030s 1.38 billion Persons 1.44 billion Persons 67.12 million Persons OECD
2040s 1.31 billion Persons 1.46 billion Persons 155.60 million Persons OECD
2050s 1.21 billion Persons 1.47 billion Persons 261.36 million Persons OECD
2060s 1.13 billion Persons 1.47 billion Persons 337.00 million Persons OECD

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher population projections, China (People’s Republic of) or OECD?
OECD, at 1.46 billion Persons against 998.78 million Persons in China (People’s Republic of) as of 2061.
What is the difference in population projections between China (People’s Republic of) and OECD?
465.91 million Persons, with OECD ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for China (People’s Republic of) and OECD?
38 years are reported by both, from 2024 to 2061.
How do China (People’s Republic of) and OECD rank globally for population projections?
China (People’s Republic of) ranks 3rd and OECD ranks 2nd of 43 countries.
Where does this data come from?
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as Population projections. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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China (People’s Republic of) vs OECD: Population projections. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 20 August 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/compare/population-projections/china/oecd/

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About this data

Indicator
Population projections
Unit
Persons
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
56 places, 2,581 data points, 2024–2070
Last refreshed

This dataset presents annual population projections data up to 2070 by sex and five year age groups as well as the share of children, youth, the elderly, old-age and total dependency ratios. The data is available for all member countries as well as for the EU27 and G20 countries, Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa and the World total. The data refer to mid-year estimates of the population. Population projections are, in most countries, according to medium variant. See country details for the variants retained for each demographic component of total fertility, life expectancy at birth and net annual migration) in Population projection metadata.