Brazil vs Mexico: Urban and rural population projected to 2050
Brazil
18.96 million people
in 2050
Mexico
15.62 million people
in 2050
Brazil rank
30th
Mexico rank
33rd
Urban and rural population projected to 2050 over time
- Brazil
- Mexico
How they compare
Brazil currently reports 18.96 million people against 15.62 million people in Mexico, a difference of 3.34 million people.
That makes Brazil's figure about 1.2 times Mexico's.
The two have swapped places 3 times across 133 shared years of data; in 1000 it was Mexico ahead.
Brazil ranks 30th and Mexico ranks 33rd of 238 countries.
Across the 43 decades both report, Brazil averaged higher in 17 and Mexico in 26.
Head to head by decade
| Decade | Brazil | Mexico | Difference | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000s | 11.34 million people | 14.86 million people | 3.52 million people | Mexico |
| 1100s | 12.57 million people | 16.75 million people | 4.18 million people | Mexico |
| 1200s | 13.80 million people | 18.66 million people | 4.86 million people | Mexico |
| 1300s | 15.02 million people | 20.58 million people | 5.56 million people | Mexico |
| 1400s | 16.24 million people | 22.51 million people | 6.27 million people | Mexico |
| 1500s | 18.66 million people | 24.42 million people | 5.75 million people | Mexico |
| 1600s | 877,051 people | 994,667 people | 117,616 people | Mexico |
| 1700s | 531,323 people | 3.94 million people | 3.40 million people | Mexico |
| 1710s | 608,320 people | 4.26 million people | 3.65 million people | Mexico |
| 1720s | 700,578 people | 4.58 million people | 3.88 million people | Mexico |
| 1730s | 810,767 people | 4.89 million people | 4.08 million people | Mexico |
| 1740s | 942,885 people | 5.21 million people | 4.26 million people | Mexico |
| 1750s | 1.10 million people | 5.51 million people | 4.41 million people | Mexico |
| 1760s | 1.29 million people | 5.81 million people | 4.52 million people | Mexico |
| 1770s | 1.53 million people | 6.11 million people | 4.58 million people | Mexico |
| 1780s | 1.81 million people | 6.39 million people | 4.59 million people | Mexico |
| 1790s | 2.15 million people | 6.67 million people | 4.52 million people | Mexico |
| 1800s | 2.57 million people | 6.94 million people | 4.37 million people | Mexico |
| 1810s | 3.26 million people | 7.19 million people | 3.93 million people | Mexico |
| 1820s | 3.96 million people | 7.43 million people | 3.47 million people | Mexico |
| 1830s | 4.97 million people | 7.65 million people | 2.69 million people | Mexico |
| 1840s | 5.95 million people | 7.85 million people | 1.90 million people | Mexico |
| 1850s | 6.90 million people | 8.03 million people | 1.13 million people | Mexico |
| 1860s | 7.83 million people | 8.18 million people | 355,720 people | Mexico |
| 1870s | 8.71 million people | 8.30 million people | 412,540 people | Brazil |
| 1880s | 9.49 million people | 8.38 million people | 1.12 million people | Brazil |
| 1890s | 11.53 million people | 9.60 million people | 1.93 million people | Brazil |
| 1900s | 13.62 million people | 10.67 million people | 2.95 million people | Brazil |
| 1910s | 16.68 million people | 11.41 million people | 5.27 million people | Brazil |
| 1920s | 22.41 million people | 10.28 million people | 12.13 million people | Brazil |
| 1930s | 28.74 million people | 11.20 million people | 17.54 million people | Brazil |
| 1940s | 28.11 million people | 12.39 million people | 15.72 million people | Brazil |
| 1950s | 36.62 million people | 16.79 million people | 19.83 million people | Brazil |
| 1960s | 42.56 million people | 19.31 million people | 23.24 million people | Brazil |
| 1970s | 42.73 million people | 21.74 million people | 20.98 million people | Brazil |
| 1980s | 38.59 million people | 23.12 million people | 15.47 million people | Brazil |
| 1990s | 35.88 million people | 24.18 million people | 11.69 million people | Brazil |
| 2000s | 31.60 million people | 25.14 million people | 6.46 million people | Brazil |
| 2010s | 28.99 million people | 27.33 million people | 1.66 million people | Brazil |
| 2020s | 25.31 million people | 26.35 million people | 1.03 million people | Mexico |
| 2030s | 21.25 million people | 23.69 million people | 2.44 million people | Mexico |
| 2040s | 19.47 million people | 18.98 million people | 488,790 people | Brazil |
| 2050s | 18.96 million people | 15.62 million people | 3.34 million people | Brazil |
Averages of every year both report within each decade.
Frequently asked questions
- Which has higher urban and rural population projected to 2050, Brazil or Mexico?
- Brazil, at 18.96 million people against 15.62 million people in Mexico as of 2050.
- What is the difference in urban and rural population projected to 2050 between Brazil and Mexico?
- 3.34 million people, with Brazil ahead.
- How many years of comparable data are there for Brazil and Mexico?
- 133 years are reported by both, from 1000 to 2050.
- How do Brazil and Mexico rank globally for urban and rural population projected to 2050?
- Brazil ranks 30th and Mexico ranks 33rd of 238 countries.
- Where does this data come from?
- HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) β with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as Urban and rural population projected to 2050. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.
Individual pages
About this data
Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modeled historical data.