Statizoid

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 by country

Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modelled historical data.

Countries reporting
231
Highest
956.42 million people
India
Lowest
0 people
Vatican
Median
1.05 million people
Years covered
1051
1000–2050
Data points
30,401

What the numbers show

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 is currently reported for 231 countries. The highest value is 956.42 million people in India; the lowest is 0 people in Vatican.

The median across all reporting countries is 1.05 million people, and the mean is 13.68 million people.

Over the past decade 62 countries rose and 155 fell. The largest increase was in Somalia (up 21.5%), and the largest decrease in Nauru (down 100.0%).

Urban and rural population projected to 2050: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 India 956.42 million people 2050 down 1.4% volatile
2 Pakistan 196.75 million people 2050 up 9.0% volatile
3 Ethiopia 148.85 million people 2050 up 14.1% volatile
4 China 129.72 million people 2050 down 57.4% rising
5 Democratic Republic of Congo 101.50 million people 2050 up 18.4% volatile
6 Bangladesh 87.41 million people 2050 down 19.7% volatile
7 Egypt 81.44 million people 2050 up 3.9% volatile
8 Indonesia 66.17 million people 2050 down 28.5% volatile
9 Nigeria 59.72 million people 2050 down 21.6% rising
10 Vietnam 58.82 million people 2050 down 3.7% volatile
11 Sudan 54.82 million people 2050 up 18.6% volatile
12 Philippines 53.20 million people 2050 up 1.4% volatile
13 United States 51.49 million people 2050 down 18.6% rising
14 Tanzania 48.75 million people 2050 down 5.5% volatile
15 Uganda 48.54 million people 2050 up 12.7% volatile
16 Afghanistan 45.22 million people 2050 up 6.7% volatile
17 Yemen 42.87 million people 2050 up 19.2% volatile
18 Kenya 36.57 million people 2050 down 13.0% volatile
19 Myanmar 35.49 million people 2050 down 6.5% rising
20 Niger 34.75 million people 2050 up 11.1% volatile
21 Mozambique 30.00 million people 2050 up 10.7% volatile
22 Madagascar 27.43 million people 2050 up 4.4% volatile
23 Russia 25.81 million people 2050 down 14.4% rising
24 Malawi 24.30 million people 2050 up 5.0% volatile
25 Mali 24.16 million people 2050 up 10.2% volatile
26 South Africa 23.02 million people 2050 down 5.1% volatile
27 Cameroon 20.85 million people 2050 up 19.2% volatile
28 Uzbekistan 20.55 million people 2050 down 1.4% volatile
29 Sri Lanka 19.22 million people 2050 up 0.7% volatile
30 Brazil 18.96 million people 2050 down 5.6% rising
31 Chad 18.51 million people 2050 down 0.4% volatile
32 Burkina Faso 16.82 million people 2050 down 9.7% volatile
33 Mexico 15.62 million people 2050 down 27.1% rising
34 Zambia 15.59 million people 2050 up 5.9% volatile
35 Cote d'Ivoire 15.25 million people 2050 down 6.2% volatile
36 Italy 15.00 million people 2050 down 6.5% rising
37 Somalia 14.42 million people 2050 up 21.5% volatile
38 Thailand 13.84 million people 2050 down 20.5% volatile
39 Burundi 13.46 million people 2050 up 6.8% volatile
40 Ghana 13.45 million people 2050 down 7.2% volatile
41 Iran 13.38 million people 2050 down 21.4% rising
42 South Sudan 12.68 million people 2050 up 7.6% volatile
43 Iraq 12.60 million people 2050 down 19.2% volatile
44 Cambodia 12.32 million people 2050 up 6.0% volatile
45 Germany 11.93 million people 2050 down 8.6% rising
46 Tajikistan 11.90 million people 2050 up 16.1% volatile
47 United Kingdom 11.75 million people 2050 up 1.0% rising
48 Zimbabwe 11.46 million people 2050 up 2.2% volatile
49 Senegal 10.98 million people 2050 up 12.6% volatile
50 Rwanda 10.27 million people 2050 down 2.7% volatile
51 Morocco 10.20 million people 2050 down 19.4% rising
52 Papua New Guinea 10.08 million people 2050 down 0.5% volatile
53 Guinea 10.07 million people 2050 down 4.4% volatile
54 Nepal 9.90 million people 2050 up 0.4% rising
55 France 9.37 million people 2050 down 23.7% falling
56 Guatemala 9.23 million people 2050 up 3.9% volatile
57 Poland 9.16 million people 2050 down 25.0% rising
58 Kazakhstan 8.70 million people 2050 up 6.2% rising
59 Ukraine 8.42 million people 2050 down 16.3% rising
60 Algeria 8.25 million people 2050 down 12.3% rising
61 Turkey 7.89 million people 2050 down 3.0% rising
62 South Korea 7.55 million people 2050 down 15.2% rising
63 Syria 7.22 million people 2050 down 17.8% volatile
64 Romania 7.17 million people 2050 down 11.3% rising
65 North Korea 6.20 million people 2050 down 21.0% rising
66 Saudi Arabia 5.99 million people 2050 up 5.0% rising
67 Kyrgyzstan 5.97 million people 2050 up 6.8% volatile
68 Colombia 5.94 million people 2050 down 34.5% rising
69 Canada 5.76 million people 2050 down 9.4% rising
70 Togo 5.47 million people 2050 down 6.7% volatile
71 Angola 5.39 million people 2050 down 43.0% volatile
72 Turkmenistan 5.06 million people 2050 up 7.6% volatile
73 Haiti 5.04 million people 2050 down 1.3% volatile
74 Benin 5.02 million people 2050 down 24.0% rising
75 Spain 4.72 million people 2050 down 32.4% rising
76 Sierra Leone 4.70 million people 2050 down 6.9% volatile
77 Honduras 4.68 million people 2050 up 0.5% volatile
78 Central African Republic 4.63 million people 2050 up 11.7% volatile
79 Azerbaijan 4.56 million people 2050 up 1.0% rising
80 Ecuador 4.30 million people 2050 down 27.9% volatile
81 Japan 4.21 million people 2050 down 34.4% volatile
82 Malaysia 4.00 million people 2050 down 35.2% volatile
83 Taiwan 3.95 million people 2050 down 8.9% rising
84 Laos 3.64 million people 2050 down 15.8% volatile
85 Australia 3.38 million people 2050 up 3.2% rising
86 Eritrea 3.38 million people 2050 up 9.0% volatile
87 Peru 3.31 million people 2050 down 9.9% rising
88 Argentina 3.18 million people 2050 down 2.0% rising
89 Venezuela 3.06 million people 2050 down 1.1% rising
90 Bolivia 2.83 million people 2050 down 16.1% rising
91 Nicaragua 2.76 million people 2050 down 7.1% volatile
92 Liberia 2.62 million people 2050 down 3.7% volatile
93 Congo 2.34 million people 2050 down 10.5% volatile
94 Slovakia 2.26 million people 2050 down 6.5% rising
95 Portugal 2.23 million people 2050 down 29.6% rising
96 Mauritania 2.18 million people 2050 up 4.0% volatile
97 Tunisia 2.11 million people 2050 down 27.6% rising
98 Hungary 1.95 million people 2050 down 16.1% rising
99 United Arab Emirates 1.86 million people 2050 up 9.1% volatile
100 Czechia 1.85 million people 2050 down 22.3% rising
101 Paraguay 1.84 million people 2050 down 1.2% rising
102 Namibia 1.82 million people 2050 up 6.9% volatile
103 Austria 1.81 million people 2050 down 19.9% rising
104 Guinea-Bissau 1.74 million people 2050 up 15.0% volatile
106 Cuba 1.39 million people 2050 down 29.3% rising
107 Georgia 1.38 million people 2050 down 2.2% rising
108 Dominican Republic 1.38 million people 2050 down 46.3% volatile
109 Belgium 1.36 million people 2050 down 1.6% rising
110 Serbia 1.31 million people 2050 down 29.3% falling
111 Moldova 1.26 million people 2050 down 9.2% rising
112 Panama 1.25 million people 2050 down 16.8% volatile
113 Mongolia 1.20 million people 2050 up 8.6% rising
114 Greece 1.16 million people 2050 down 25.0% rising
115 El Salvador 1.15 million people 2050 down 7.8% volatile
116 Finland 1.13 million people 2050 down 6.6% rising
117 Bulgaria 1.05 million people 2050 down 19.8% rising
118 Chile 1.04 million people 2050 down 34.1% rising
119 Lesotho 1.03 million people 2050 down 10.3% volatile
120 Switzerland 1.03 million people 2050 down 4.1% rising
121 Eswatini 993,361 people 2050 up 2.7% volatile
122 East Timor 981,162 people 2050 down 9.7% volatile
123 Gambia 943,349 people 2050 up 8.0% volatile
124 Belarus 935,888 people 2050 down 25.5% volatile
125 Botswana 928,062 people 2050 up 6.6% rising
126 Croatia 880,132 people 2050 down 27.5% rising
127 Albania 825,799 people 2050 down 10.8% rising
128 Equatorial Guinea 811,799 people 2050 up 16.1% volatile
129 Sweden 801,164 people 2050 down 10.9% rising
130 Costa Rica 788,334 people 2050 down 6.7% volatile
131 Armenia 776,917 people 2050 down 9.8% rising
132 Libya 749,810 people 2050 down 19.0% rising
133 Solomon Islands 723,364 people 2050 up 6.4% volatile
134 Bosnia and Herzegovina 720,614 people 2050 down 29.7% rising
135 Guyana 684,931 people 2050 up 3.1% rising
136 Comoros 678,165 people 2050 up 2.3% volatile
137 Slovenia 638,811 people 2050 down 18.8% rising
138 Trinidad and Tobago 632,391 people 2050 down 6.1% rising
139 Mauritius 630,212 people 2050 down 11.3% volatile
140 Jordan 575,732 people 2050 down 2.5% volatile
141 Jamaica 564,820 people 2050 down 32.4% rising
142 Lithuania 560,822 people 2050 down 17.0% rising
143 Norway 507,075 people 2050 down 28.9% rising
144 Palestine 499,108 people 2050 down 20.7% rising
145 Cyprus 467,747 people 2050 down 3.0% rising
146 Lebanon 453,628 people 2050 down 2.1% rising
147 Israel 450,328 people 2050 down 37.4% rising
148 Bhutan 432,006 people 2050 up 0.2% volatile
149 Denmark 430,511 people 2050 down 20.2% rising
150 Djibouti 397,720 people 2050 up 8.0% volatile
151 North Macedonia 378,611 people 2050 down 24.9% rising
152 Oman 349,150 people 2050 down 66.1% rising
153 Estonia 341,410 people 2050 down 5.1% rising
154 Vanuatu 333,655 people 2050 up 1.0% volatile
155 Latvia 322,050 people 2050 down 26.3% rising
156 New Zealand 306,014 people 2050 down 55.9% rising
157 Fiji 296,416 people 2050 down 10.7% rising
158 Belize 294,390 people 2050 up 2.4% volatile
159 Maldives 221,666 people 2050 down 16.9% rising
160 Samoa 217,564 people 2050 up 7.7% volatile
161 Netherlands 206,288 people 2050 down 25.3% volatile
162 Gabon 200,229 people 2050 up 6.4% rising
163 Suriname 185,743 people 2050 down 15.8% rising
164 Montenegro 179,128 people 2050 down 7.5% falling
165 Saint Lucia 123,415 people 2050 down 3.2% rising
166 Micronesia (country) 96,437 people 2050 up 3.0% rising
167 French Polynesia 91,861 people 2050 down 11.2% rising
168 Western Sahara 79,441 people 2050 up 2.7% volatile
169 Tonga 78,154 people 2050 down 1.8% rising
170 Uruguay 77,867 people 2050 down 29.8% volatile
171 Jersey 75,434 people 2050 up 5.0% rising
172 Antigua and Barbuda 72,613 people 2050 down 2.0% rising
173 Bahamas 71,140 people 2050 down 6.3% rising
174 Seychelles 70,308 people 2050 down 4.4% rising
175 New Caledonia 67,921 people 2050 down 20.6% rising
176 Grenada 66,268 people 2050 down 6.6% rising
177 Barbados 66,216 people 2050 down 28.1% rising
178 Brunei 62,798 people 2050 down 36.1% volatile
179 Guernsey 46,992 people 2050 up 1.0% rising
180 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 43,111 people 2050 down 6.8% rising
181 Sao Tome and Principe 41,727 people 2050 down 40.0% rising
182 Kiribati 41,650 people 2050 down 1.1% rising
183 Isle of Man 39,720 people 2050 down 0.9% rising
184 Aruba 38,765 people 2050 down 4.5% volatile
187 Cape Verde 33,467 people 2050 down 45.5% volatile
188 French Guiana 32,201 people 2050 down 28.3% volatile
189 Faroe Islands 31,063 people 2050 down 7.5% rising
190 Saint Kitts and Nevis 27,258 people 2050 down 9.8% rising
192 Netherlands Antilles 19,612 people 1940 up 15.0% volatile
193 Puerto Rico 17,230 people 2050 down 81.5% volatile
194 Iceland 13,822 people 2050 down 30.6% falling
195 American Samoa 12,060 people 2050 up 15.0% rising
196 Wallis and Futuna 10,148 people 2050 down 3.8% rising
197 Bonaire Sint Eustatius and Saba 8,520 people 2050 up 19.4% rising
198 Andorra 8,255 people 2050 down 6.0% volatile
199 Dominica 7,975 people 2050 down 32.6% volatile
200 Curacao 6,406 people 2050 down 44.2% falling
201 Qatar 5,731 people 2050 down 32.7% volatile
202 British Virgin Islands 5,416 people 2050 down 50.8% rising
203 Guam 4,049 people 2050 down 45.9% volatile
204 Tokelau 3,821 people 2050 up 8.8% rising
206 Montserrat 3,360 people 2050 down 5.4% rising
207 Greenland 3,119 people 2050 down 25.7% rising
208 Marshall Islands 2,941 people 2050 down 27.9% falling
209 Reunion 2,841 people 2050 down 84.8% volatile
210 Saint Helena 2,711 people 2050 down 5.7% flat
211 United States Virgin Islands 2,200 people 2050 down 21.7% volatile
212 Northern Mariana Islands 1,891 people 2050 down 25.1% rising
213 Palau 1,496 people 2050 down 45.9% falling
214 Cook Islands 1,417 people 2050 down 23.7% falling
215 Tuvalu 1,269 people 2050 down 38.3% falling
216 Turks and Caicos Islands 1,232 people 2050 down 19.0% volatile
217 Niue 989.42 people 2050 down 7.7% volatile
220 Falkland Islands 482.14 people 2050 down 7.4% rising
221 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 308.32 people 2050 down 25.2% volatile
222 San Marino 94.35 people 2050 down 83.1% volatile
223 Svalbard and Jan Mayen 2.32 people 1940 down 37.2% volatile
224 Kuwait 0 people 2050 — volatile
224 Singapore 0 people 2050 — volatile
226 Sint Maarten (Dutch part) 0 people 2050 — volatile
227 Saint Barthelemy 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Bahrain 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Bermuda 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Cayman Islands 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Gibraltar 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Hong Kong 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Macao 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Saint Martin (French part) 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Monaco 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Nauru 0 people 2050 down 100.0% volatile
228 Anguilla 0 people 2050 — volatile
228 Vatican 0 people 2050 — volatile

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

About this data

Indicator
Urban and rural population projected to 2050
Unit
people
Source
HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
239 places, 30,401 data points, 1000–2050
Last refreshed

Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modelled historical data.