Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau

Tokelau: Urban and rural population projected to 2050 was 3,821 people in 2050. ▲ Rising

Latest (2050)
3,821 people
Change on year
up 0.6%
World rank
204th
of 238 countries
All-time high
3,821 people
in 2050
All-time low
1,552 people
in 2007
Years of data
101
1950–2050

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau, 1950–2050

01.0k2.0k3.0k4.0k195020002050

Source: HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in people.

Analysis

In 2050, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau stood at 3,821 people. That is the highest value across all 101 years on record.

The figure is up 0.6% on the previous year and up 8.8% over ten years.

Over the whole period, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau peaked at 3,821 people in 2050 and was at its lowest, 1,552 people, in 2007.

Tokelau ranks 204th of 238 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 101 years of available data.

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau, year by year

Annual values for Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau, 1950 to 2050.
Year people Change
1950 1,592 people —
1951 1,562 people -1.9%
1952 1,563 people +0.1%
1953 1,576 people +0.8%
1954 1,586 people +0.6%
1955 1,593 people +0.4%
1956 1,604 people +0.7%
1957 1,637 people +2.1%
1958 1,682 people +2.7%
1959 1,730 people +2.9%
1960 1,784 people +3.1%
1961 1,838 people +3.0%
1962 1,869 people +1.7%
1963 1,882 people +0.7%
1964 1,893 people +0.6%
1965 1,899 people +0.3%
1966 1,898 people -0.1%
1967 1,873 people -1.3%
1968 1,827 people -2.5%
1969 1,776 people -2.8%
1970 1,720 people -3.2%
1971 1,666 people -3.1%
1972 1,641 people -1.5%
1973 1,643 people +0.1%
1974 1,642 people -0.1%
1975 1,639 people -0.2%
1976 1,643 people +0.2%
1977 1,653 people +0.6%
1978 1,663 people +0.6%
1979 1,666 people +0.2%
1980 1,664 people -0.1%
1981 1,664 people +0.0%
1982 1,666 people +0.1%
1983 1,689 people +1.4%
1984 1,727 people +2.2%
1985 1,761 people +2.0%
1986 1,782 people +1.2%
1987 1,778 people -0.2%
1988 1,766 people -0.7%
1989 1,763 people -0.2%
1990 1,766 people +0.2%
1991 1,774 people +0.5%
1992 1,778 people +0.2%
1993 1,775 people -0.2%
1994 1,772 people -0.2%
1995 1,771 people -0.1%
1996 1,771 people +0.0%
1997 1,782 people +0.6%
1998 1,801 people +1.1%
1999 1,821 people +1.1%
2000 1,844 people +1.3%
2001 1,864 people +1.1%
2002 1,839 people -1.3%
2003 1,774 people -3.5%
2004 1,705 people -3.9%
2005 1,631 people -4.3%
2006 1,569 people -3.8%
2007 1,552 people -1.1%
2008 1,562 people +0.6%
2009 1,574 people +0.8%
2010 1,584 people +0.6%
2011 1,598 people +0.9%
2012 1,659 people +3.8%
2013 1,726 people +4.0%
2014 1,728 people +0.1%
2015 1,698 people -1.7%
2016 1,677 people -1.2%
2017 1,742 people +3.9%
2018 1,878 people +7.8%
2019 2,014 people +7.2%
2020 2,128 people +5.7%
2021 2,205 people +3.6%
2022 2,290 people +3.9%
2023 2,398 people +4.7%
2024 2,506 people +4.5%
2025 2,608 people +4.1%
2026 2,691 people +3.2%
2027 2,765 people +2.7%
2028 2,844 people +2.9%
2029 2,918 people +2.6%
2030 2,985 people +2.3%
2031 3,053 people +2.3%
2032 3,122 people +2.3%
2033 3,178 people +1.8%
2034 3,228 people +1.6%
2035 3,280 people +1.6%
2036 3,333 people +1.6%
2037 3,387 people +1.6%
2038 3,433 people +1.4%
2039 3,474 people +1.2%
2040 3,512 people +1.1%
2041 3,547 people +1.0%
2042 3,584 people +1.0%
2043 3,620 people +1.0%
2044 3,655 people +1.0%
2045 3,689 people +0.9%
2046 3,721 people +0.9%
2047 3,745 people +0.6%
2048 3,769 people +0.6%
2049 3,797 people +0.7%
2050 3,821 people +0.6%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1950s 1,612 people 1,562 people 1,730 people 10
1960s 1,854 people 1,776 people 1,899 people 10
1970s 1,658 people 1,639 people 1,720 people 10
1980s 1,726 people 1,664 people 1,782 people 10
1990s 1,781 people 1,766 people 1,821 people 10
2000s 1,691 people 1,552 people 1,864 people 10
2010s 1,730 people 1,584 people 2,014 people 10
2020s 2,535 people 2,128 people 2,918 people 10
2030s 3,247 people 2,985 people 3,474 people 10
2040s 3,664 people 3,512 people 3,797 people 10
2050s 3,821 people 3,821 people 3,821 people 1

Countries ranked near Tokelau

  1. 201 Qatar 5,731 people compare
  2. 202 British Virgin Islands 5,416 people compare
  3. 203 Guam 4,049 people compare
  4. 205 Mayotte 3,743 people compare
  5. 206 Montserrat 3,360 people compare
  6. 207 Greenland 3,119 people compare

See the full ranking of 239 places →

More population data for Tokelau

All data for Tokelau →

Frequently asked questions

What is urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau?
Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau was 3,821 people in 2050, according to HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
What is the highest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Tokelau?
The highest recorded value was 3,821 people in 2050.
What is the lowest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Tokelau?
The lowest recorded value was 1,552 people in 2007.
How does Tokelau rank for urban and rural population projected to 2050?
Tokelau ranks 204th out of 238 countries with data for 2050.
Is urban and rural population projected to 2050 rising or falling in Tokelau?
Over the last ten years it is up 8.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Tokelau data come from?
The figures come from HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Urban and rural population projected to 2050. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tokelau. Statizoid, drawing on HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Retrieved 10 October 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/urban-and-rural-population-2050/tokelau/

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About this data

Indicator
Urban and rural population projected to 2050
Unit
people
Source
HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
239 places, 30,401 data points, 1000–2050
Last refreshed

Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modeled historical data.