Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga
Tonga: Urban and rural population projected to 2050 was 78,154 people in 2050. ▲ Rising
Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga, 1000–2050
Source: HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in people.
Analysis
In 2050, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga stood at 78,154 people.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.4% on the previous year and down 1.8% over ten years.
Over the whole period, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga peaked at 83,065 people in 2021 and was at its lowest, 1,558 people, in 1000.
That places Tonga 169th out of 238 countries with data for 2050, putting it in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 133 years of available data.
Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga, year by year
| Year | people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1,558 people | — |
| 1100 | 1,640 people | +5.3% |
| 1200 | 1,727 people | +5.3% |
| 1300 | 2,590 people | +50.0% |
| 1400 | 3,885 people | +50.0% |
| 1500 | 5,827 people | +50.0% |
| 1600 | 8,739 people | +50.0% |
| 1700 | 13,100 people | +49.9% |
| 1710 | 13,795 people | +5.3% |
| 1720 | 14,519 people | +5.2% |
| 1730 | 15,280 people | +5.2% |
| 1740 | 16,080 people | +5.2% |
| 1750 | 16,922 people | +5.2% |
| 1760 | 17,806 people | +5.2% |
| 1770 | 18,734 people | +5.2% |
| 1780 | 19,709 people | +5.2% |
| 1790 | 20,731 people | +5.2% |
| 1800 | 21,802 people | +5.2% |
| 1810 | 22,923 people | +5.1% |
| 1820 | 24,162 people | +5.4% |
| 1830 | 25,459 people | +5.4% |
| 1840 | 26,814 people | +5.3% |
| 1850 | 28,224 people | +5.3% |
| 1860 | 29,688 people | +5.2% |
| 1870 | 30,576 people | +3.0% |
| 1880 | 31,456 people | +2.9% |
| 1890 | 32,315 people | +2.7% |
| 1900 | 33,137 people | +2.5% |
| 1910 | 33,902 people | +2.3% |
| 1920 | 34,287 people | +1.1% |
| 1930 | 34,545 people | +0.8% |
| 1940 | 34,635 people | +0.3% |
| 1950 | 43,012 people | +24.2% |
| 1951 | 43,876 people | +2.0% |
| 1952 | 44,832 people | +2.2% |
| 1953 | 45,879 people | +2.3% |
| 1954 | 47,014 people | +2.5% |
| 1955 | 48,238 people | +2.6% |
| 1956 | 49,531 people | +2.7% |
| 1957 | 50,691 people | +2.3% |
| 1958 | 51,778 people | +2.1% |
| 1959 | 52,909 people | +2.2% |
| 1960 | 54,087 people | +2.2% |
| 1961 | 55,312 people | +2.3% |
| 1962 | 56,583 people | +2.3% |
| 1963 | 57,911 people | +2.3% |
| 1964 | 59,312 people | +2.4% |
| 1965 | 60,798 people | +2.5% |
| 1966 | 62,367 people | +2.6% |
| 1967 | 63,770 people | +2.2% |
| 1968 | 64,970 people | +1.9% |
| 1969 | 66,170 people | +1.8% |
| 1970 | 67,364 people | +1.8% |
| 1971 | 68,541 people | +1.7% |
| 1972 | 69,692 people | +1.7% |
| 1973 | 70,832 people | +1.6% |
| 1974 | 72,313 people | +2.1% |
| 1975 | 74,153 people | +2.5% |
| 1976 | 75,963 people | +2.4% |
| 1977 | 77,037 people | +1.4% |
| 1978 | 77,354 people | +0.4% |
| 1979 | 77,538 people | +0.2% |
| 1980 | 77,612 people | +0.1% |
| 1981 | 77,599 people | -0.0% |
| 1982 | 77,520 people | -0.1% |
| 1983 | 77,385 people | -0.2% |
| 1984 | 77,222 people | -0.2% |
| 1985 | 77,053 people | -0.2% |
| 1986 | 76,905 people | -0.2% |
| 1987 | 77,023 people | +0.2% |
| 1988 | 77,317 people | +0.4% |
| 1989 | 77,490 people | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 77,561 people | +0.1% |
| 1991 | 77,562 people | +0.0% |
| 1992 | 77,520 people | -0.1% |
| 1993 | 77,457 people | -0.1% |
| 1994 | 77,397 people | -0.1% |
| 1995 | 77,353 people | -0.1% |
| 1996 | 77,326 people | -0.0% |
| 1997 | 77,588 people | +0.3% |
| 1998 | 78,101 people | +0.7% |
| 1999 | 78,577 people | +0.6% |
| 2000 | 79,036 people | +0.6% |
| 2001 | 79,481 people | +0.6% |
| 2002 | 79,909 people | +0.5% |
| 2003 | 80,339 people | +0.5% |
| 2004 | 80,780 people | +0.5% |
| 2005 | 81,211 people | +0.5% |
| 2006 | 81,623 people | +0.5% |
| 2007 | 81,940 people | +0.4% |
| 2008 | 82,096 people | +0.2% |
| 2009 | 82,158 people | +0.1% |
| 2010 | 82,242 people | +0.1% |
| 2011 | 82,333 people | +0.1% |
| 2012 | 82,251 people | -0.1% |
| 2013 | 82,004 people | -0.3% |
| 2014 | 81,723 people | -0.3% |
| 2015 | 81,435 people | -0.4% |
| 2016 | 81,119 people | -0.4% |
| 2017 | 81,154 people | +0.0% |
| 2018 | 81,602 people | +0.6% |
| 2019 | 82,075 people | +0.6% |
| 2020 | 82,580 people | +0.6% |
| 2021 | 83,065 people | +0.6% |
| 2022 | 82,828 people | -0.3% |
| 2023 | 82,478 people | -0.4% |
| 2024 | 82,142 people | -0.4% |
| 2025 | 81,794 people | -0.4% |
| 2026 | 81,428 people | -0.4% |
| 2027 | 81,102 people | -0.4% |
| 2028 | 80,818 people | -0.3% |
| 2029 | 80,564 people | -0.3% |
| 2030 | 80,361 people | -0.3% |
| 2031 | 80,195 people | -0.2% |
| 2032 | 80,066 people | -0.2% |
| 2033 | 79,969 people | -0.1% |
| 2034 | 79,878 people | -0.1% |
| 2035 | 79,798 people | -0.1% |
| 2036 | 79,729 people | -0.1% |
| 2037 | 79,674 people | -0.1% |
| 2038 | 79,658 people | -0.0% |
| 2039 | 79,637 people | -0.0% |
| 2040 | 79,591 people | -0.1% |
| 2041 | 79,552 people | -0.0% |
| 2042 | 79,498 people | -0.1% |
| 2043 | 79,431 people | -0.1% |
| 2044 | 79,371 people | -0.1% |
| 2045 | 79,291 people | -0.1% |
| 2046 | 79,169 people | -0.2% |
| 2047 | 78,987 people | -0.2% |
| 2048 | 78,753 people | -0.3% |
| 2049 | 78,473 people | -0.4% |
| 2050 | 78,154 people | -0.4% |
Tonga compared with similar countries
- Tonga's 78,154 people is below the median for upper middle income countries, which is 1.23 million people, 6% of the median. (58 countries reporting)
- Tonga's 78,154 people is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 306,014 people, 26% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 | +50.0% | 1,727 people | 2,590 people |
| 1400 | +50.0% | 2,590 people | 3,885 people |
| 1500 | +50.0% | 3,885 people | 5,827 people |
| 1600 | +50.0% | 5,827 people | 8,739 people |
| 1700 | +49.9% | 8,739 people | 13,100 people |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000s | 1,558 people | 1,558 people | 1,558 people | 1 |
| 1100s | 1,640 people | 1,640 people | 1,640 people | 1 |
| 1200s | 1,727 people | 1,727 people | 1,727 people | 1 |
| 1300s | 2,590 people | 2,590 people | 2,590 people | 1 |
| 1400s | 3,885 people | 3,885 people | 3,885 people | 1 |
| 1500s | 5,827 people | 5,827 people | 5,827 people | 1 |
| 1600s | 8,739 people | 8,739 people | 8,739 people | 1 |
| 1700s | 13,100 people | 13,100 people | 13,100 people | 1 |
| 1710s | 13,795 people | 13,795 people | 13,795 people | 1 |
| 1720s | 14,519 people | 14,519 people | 14,519 people | 1 |
| 1730s | 15,280 people | 15,280 people | 15,280 people | 1 |
| 1740s | 16,080 people | 16,080 people | 16,080 people | 1 |
| 1750s | 16,922 people | 16,922 people | 16,922 people | 1 |
| 1760s | 17,806 people | 17,806 people | 17,806 people | 1 |
| 1770s | 18,734 people | 18,734 people | 18,734 people | 1 |
| 1780s | 19,709 people | 19,709 people | 19,709 people | 1 |
| 1790s | 20,731 people | 20,731 people | 20,731 people | 1 |
| 1800s | 21,802 people | 21,802 people | 21,802 people | 1 |
| 1810s | 22,923 people | 22,923 people | 22,923 people | 1 |
| 1820s | 24,162 people | 24,162 people | 24,162 people | 1 |
| 1830s | 25,459 people | 25,459 people | 25,459 people | 1 |
| 1840s | 26,814 people | 26,814 people | 26,814 people | 1 |
| 1850s | 28,224 people | 28,224 people | 28,224 people | 1 |
| 1860s | 29,688 people | 29,688 people | 29,688 people | 1 |
| 1870s | 30,576 people | 30,576 people | 30,576 people | 1 |
| 1880s | 31,456 people | 31,456 people | 31,456 people | 1 |
| 1890s | 32,315 people | 32,315 people | 32,315 people | 1 |
| 1900s | 33,137 people | 33,137 people | 33,137 people | 1 |
| 1910s | 33,902 people | 33,902 people | 33,902 people | 1 |
| 1920s | 34,287 people | 34,287 people | 34,287 people | 1 |
| 1930s | 34,545 people | 34,545 people | 34,545 people | 1 |
| 1940s | 34,635 people | 34,635 people | 34,635 people | 1 |
| 1950s | 47,776 people | 43,012 people | 52,909 people | 10 |
| 1960s | 60,128 people | 54,087 people | 66,170 people | 10 |
| 1970s | 73,079 people | 67,364 people | 77,538 people | 10 |
| 1980s | 77,313 people | 76,905 people | 77,612 people | 10 |
| 1990s | 77,644 people | 77,326 people | 78,577 people | 10 |
| 2000s | 80,857 people | 79,036 people | 82,158 people | 10 |
| 2010s | 81,794 people | 81,119 people | 82,333 people | 10 |
| 2020s | 81,880 people | 80,564 people | 83,065 people | 10 |
| 2030s | 79,896 people | 79,637 people | 80,361 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 79,211 people | 78,473 people | 79,591 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 78,154 people | 78,154 people | 78,154 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tonga
- 166 Micronesia (country) 96,437 people compare
- 167 French Polynesia 91,861 people compare
- 168 Western Sahara 79,441 people compare
- 170 Uruguay 77,867 people compare
- 171 Jersey 75,434 people compare
- 172 Antigua and Barbuda 72,613 people compare
More population data for Tonga
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.5565 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate 0.0093 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -0.4068 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate 0.0093 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate, by level of development -0.0% (2100)
- Number of children under 5, by world region 6,812 people (2100)
- Population density 163.72 people per km² (2100)
- World population growth -0.0% (2100)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.3365 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population 0.8047 Percent per annum (2030)
Frequently asked questions
- What is urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga?
- Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Tonga was 78,154 people in 2050, according to HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Tonga?
- The highest recorded value was 83,065 people in 2021.
- What is the lowest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Tonga?
- The lowest recorded value was 1,558 people in 1000.
- How does Tonga rank for urban and rural population projected to 2050?
- Tonga ranks 169th out of 238 countries with data for 2050.
- Is urban and rural population projected to 2050 rising or falling in Tonga?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tonga data come from?
- The figures come from HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Urban and rural population projected to 2050. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
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About this data
Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modeled historical data.