Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu

Vanuatu: Urban and rural population projected to 2050 was 333,655 people in 2050. ◆ Volatile

Latest (2050)
333,655 people
Change on year
down 0.8%
World rank
154th
of 238 countries
All-time high
339,753 people
in 2046
All-time low
924.29 people
in 1000
Years of data
133
1000–2050

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu, 1000–2050

0100.0k200.0k300.0k100015252050

Source: HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in people.

Analysis

In 2050, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu stood at 333,655 people.

The figure is down 0.8% on the previous year and up 1.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu peaked at 339,753 people in 2046 and was at its lowest, 924.29 people, in 1000.

That places Vanuatu 154th out of 238 countries with data for 2050, putting it in the middle of the range.

The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.

Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu, year by year

Annual values for Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu, 1000 to 2050.
Year people Change
1000 924.29 people —
1100 1,386 people +50.0%
1200 2,080 people +50.0%
1300 3,119 people +50.0%
1400 4,679 people +50.0%
1500 7,018 people +50.0%
1600 10,525 people +50.0%
1700 15,777 people +49.9%
1710 16,588 people +5.1%
1720 17,454 people +5.2%
1730 18,365 people +5.2%
1740 19,322 people +5.2%
1750 20,328 people +5.2%
1760 21,383 people +5.2%
1770 22,491 people +5.2%
1780 23,653 people +5.2%
1790 24,871 people +5.2%
1800 26,148 people +5.1%
1810 27,484 people +5.1%
1820 28,961 people +5.4%
1830 30,509 people +5.3%
1840 32,129 people +5.3%
1850 33,822 people +5.3%
1860 35,587 people +5.2%
1870 36,678 people +3.1%
1880 37,777 people +3.0%
1890 38,880 people +2.9%
1900 39,979 people +2.8%
1910 41,067 people +2.7%
1920 41,772 people +1.7%
1930 42,427 people +1.6%
1940 43,016 people +1.4%
1950 48,644 people +13.1%
1951 49,311 people +1.4%
1952 50,049 people +1.5%
1953 50,908 people +1.7%
1954 51,835 people +1.8%
1955 52,835 people +1.9%
1956 53,902 people +2.0%
1957 55,105 people +2.2%
1958 56,439 people +2.4%
1959 57,839 people +2.5%
1960 59,292 people +2.5%
1961 60,798 people +2.5%
1962 62,360 people +2.6%
1963 63,976 people +2.6%
1964 65,648 people +2.6%
1965 67,373 people +2.6%
1966 69,169 people +2.7%
1967 71,032 people +2.7%
1968 72,908 people +2.6%
1969 74,807 people +2.6%
1970 76,746 people +2.6%
1971 78,740 people +2.6%
1972 80,804 people +2.6%
1973 82,933 people +2.6%
1974 85,124 people +2.6%
1975 87,385 people +2.7%
1976 89,718 people +2.7%
1977 92,118 people +2.7%
1978 94,590 people +2.7%
1979 96,799 people +2.3%
1980 98,579 people +1.8%
1981 100,293 people +1.7%
1982 102,141 people +1.8%
1983 104,107 people +1.9%
1984 106,173 people +2.0%
1985 108,332 people +2.0%
1986 110,575 people +2.1%
1987 112,896 people +2.1%
1988 115,302 people +2.1%
1989 117,772 people +2.1%
1990 120,276 people +2.1%
1991 122,828 people +2.1%
1992 125,445 people +2.1%
1993 128,087 people +2.1%
1994 130,715 people +2.1%
1995 133,307 people +2.0%
1996 135,842 people +1.9%
1997 138,309 people +1.8%
1998 140,727 people +1.7%
1999 143,148 people +1.7%
2000 145,938 people +1.9%
2001 149,130 people +2.2%
2002 152,379 people +2.2%
2003 155,650 people +2.1%
2004 158,955 people +2.1%
2005 162,281 people +2.1%
2006 165,637 people +2.1%
2007 169,065 people +2.1%
2008 172,604 people +2.1%
2009 176,210 people +2.1%
2010 179,299 people +1.8%
2011 183,126 people +2.1%
2012 187,115 people +2.2%
2013 191,267 people +2.2%
2014 195,557 people +2.2%
2015 199,941 people +2.2%
2016 204,430 people +2.2%
2017 209,536 people +2.5%
2018 216,018 people +3.1%
2019 223,361 people +3.4%
2020 231,858 people +3.8%
2021 237,812 people +2.6%
2022 243,380 people +2.3%
2023 249,069 people +2.3%
2024 254,726 people +2.3%
2025 260,353 people +2.2%
2026 265,917 people +2.1%
2027 271,408 people +2.1%
2028 276,829 people +2.0%
2029 282,172 people +1.9%
2030 287,427 people +1.9%
2031 292,570 people +1.8%
2032 297,570 people +1.7%
2033 302,437 people +1.6%
2034 307,157 people +1.6%
2035 311,682 people +1.5%
2036 315,992 people +1.4%
2037 320,065 people +1.3%
2038 323,873 people +1.2%
2039 327,365 people +1.1%
2040 330,494 people +1.0%
2041 333,229 people +0.8%
2042 335,543 people +0.7%
2043 337,394 people +0.6%
2044 338,745 people +0.4%
2045 339,550 people +0.2%
2046 339,753 people +0.1%
2047 339,300 people -0.1%
2048 338,151 people -0.3%
2049 336,283 people -0.6%
2050 333,655 people -0.8%

Vanuatu compared with similar countries

  • Vanuatu's 333,655 people is below the median for lower middle income countries, which is 5.39 million people, 6% of the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Vanuatu's 333,655 people is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 306,014 people, 1.1× the median. (37 countries reporting)

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
1100 +50.0% 924.29 people 1,386 people
1200 +50.0% 1,386 people 2,080 people
1300 +50.0% 2,080 people 3,119 people
1400 +50.0% 3,119 people 4,679 people
1500 +50.0% 4,679 people 7,018 people
1600 +50.0% 7,018 people 10,525 people

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1000s 924.29 people 924.29 people 924.29 people 1
1100s 1,386 people 1,386 people 1,386 people 1
1200s 2,080 people 2,080 people 2,080 people 1
1300s 3,119 people 3,119 people 3,119 people 1
1400s 4,679 people 4,679 people 4,679 people 1
1500s 7,018 people 7,018 people 7,018 people 1
1600s 10,525 people 10,525 people 10,525 people 1
1700s 15,777 people 15,777 people 15,777 people 1
1710s 16,588 people 16,588 people 16,588 people 1
1720s 17,454 people 17,454 people 17,454 people 1
1730s 18,365 people 18,365 people 18,365 people 1
1740s 19,322 people 19,322 people 19,322 people 1
1750s 20,328 people 20,328 people 20,328 people 1
1760s 21,383 people 21,383 people 21,383 people 1
1770s 22,491 people 22,491 people 22,491 people 1
1780s 23,653 people 23,653 people 23,653 people 1
1790s 24,871 people 24,871 people 24,871 people 1
1800s 26,148 people 26,148 people 26,148 people 1
1810s 27,484 people 27,484 people 27,484 people 1
1820s 28,961 people 28,961 people 28,961 people 1
1830s 30,509 people 30,509 people 30,509 people 1
1840s 32,129 people 32,129 people 32,129 people 1
1850s 33,822 people 33,822 people 33,822 people 1
1860s 35,587 people 35,587 people 35,587 people 1
1870s 36,678 people 36,678 people 36,678 people 1
1880s 37,777 people 37,777 people 37,777 people 1
1890s 38,880 people 38,880 people 38,880 people 1
1900s 39,979 people 39,979 people 39,979 people 1
1910s 41,067 people 41,067 people 41,067 people 1
1920s 41,772 people 41,772 people 41,772 people 1
1930s 42,427 people 42,427 people 42,427 people 1
1940s 43,016 people 43,016 people 43,016 people 1
1950s 52,687 people 48,644 people 57,839 people 10
1960s 66,736 people 59,292 people 74,807 people 10
1970s 86,496 people 76,746 people 96,799 people 10
1980s 107,617 people 98,579 people 117,772 people 10
1990s 131,868 people 120,276 people 143,148 people 10
2000s 160,785 people 145,938 people 176,210 people 10
2010s 198,965 people 179,299 people 223,361 people 10
2020s 257,352 people 231,858 people 282,172 people 10
2030s 308,614 people 287,427 people 327,365 people 10
2040s 336,844 people 330,494 people 339,753 people 10
2050s 333,655 people 333,655 people 333,655 people 1

Countries ranked near Vanuatu

  1. 151 North Macedonia 378,611 people compare
  2. 152 Oman 349,150 people compare
  3. 153 Estonia 341,410 people compare
  4. 155 Latvia 322,050 people compare
  5. 156 New Zealand 306,014 people compare
  6. 157 Fiji 296,416 people compare

See the full ranking of 239 places →

More population data for Vanuatu

All data for Vanuatu →

Frequently asked questions

What is urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu?
Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu was 333,655 people in 2050, according to HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
What is the highest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Vanuatu?
The highest recorded value was 339,753 people in 2046.
What is the lowest urban and rural population projected to 2050 recorded in Vanuatu?
The lowest recorded value was 924.29 people in 1000.
How does Vanuatu rank for urban and rural population projected to 2050?
Vanuatu ranks 154th out of 238 countries with data for 2050.
Is urban and rural population projected to 2050 rising or falling in Vanuatu?
Over the last ten years it is up 1.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
Where does this Vanuatu data come from?
The figures come from HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Urban and rural population projected to 2050. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Urban and rural population projected to 2050 in Vanuatu. Statizoid, drawing on HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Retrieved 25 September 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/urban-and-rural-population-2050/vanuatu/

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About this data

Indicator
Urban and rural population projected to 2050
Unit
people
Source
HYDE (2023); United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2025) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
239 places, 30,401 data points, 1000–2050
Last refreshed

Number of people living in rural areas, combining UN estimates and projections with modeled historical data.