Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states

Africa, fragile states: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates was 1.52 million Persons in 2050. ▲ Rising

Latest (2050)
1.52 million Persons
Rank
10th
of 48 regions
All-time high
1.52 million Persons
in 2050
All-time low
348,468 Persons
in 1990
Years of data
43
1990–2050

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states, 1990–2050

250.0k500.0k750.0k1.0M1.2M1.5M1990202020501990: 348.5k Persons1991: 358.7k Persons1992: 369.2k Persons1993: 379.7k Persons1994: 391.0k Persons1995: 402.2k Persons1996: 413.1k Persons1997: 424.4k Persons1998: 436.1k Persons1999: 448.2k Persons2000: 460.6k Persons2001: 473.5k Persons2002: 486.8k Persons2003: 500.5k Persons2004: 514.5k Persons2005: 528.9k Persons2006: 543.8k Persons2007: 559.3k Persons2008: 575.1k Persons2009: 591.4k Persons2010: 608.1k Persons2011: 625.1k Persons2012: 642.5k Persons2013: 660.6k Persons2014: 679.2k Persons2015: 698.3k Persons2016: 718.0k Persons2017: 738.2k Persons2018: 758.6k Persons2019: 779.1k Persons2020: 800.1k Persons2021: 821.3k Persons2022: 842.5k Persons2023: 864.2k Persons2024: 886.4k Persons2025: 908.8k Persons2026: 931.6k Persons2027: 954.6k Persons2028: 977.9k Persons2029: 1.0M Persons2030: 1.0M Persons2040: 1.3M Persons2050: 1.5M Persons

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Persons.

Analysis

In 2050, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states stood at 1.52 million Persons. That is the highest value across all 43 years on record.

That represents a change of up 19.8% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states peaked at 1.52 million Persons in 2050 and was at its lowest, 348,468 Persons, in 1990.

Africa, fragile states ranks 10th of 48 regions on this measure, in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 43 years of available data.

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states, year by year

Annual values for Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates — Population in Africa, fragile states, 1990 to 2050.
Year Persons Change
1990 348,468 Persons
1991 358,660 Persons +2.9%
1992 369,157 Persons +2.9%
1993 379,744 Persons +2.9%
1994 390,956 Persons +3.0%
1995 402,172 Persons +2.9%
1996 413,080 Persons +2.7%
1997 424,359 Persons +2.7%
1998 436,108 Persons +2.8%
1999 448,158 Persons +2.8%
2000 460,609 Persons +2.8%
2001 473,499 Persons +2.8%
2002 486,813 Persons +2.8%
2003 500,463 Persons +2.8%
2004 514,462 Persons +2.8%
2005 528,905 Persons +2.8%
2006 543,841 Persons +2.8%
2007 559,276 Persons +2.8%
2008 575,138 Persons +2.8%
2009 591,356 Persons +2.8%
2010 608,112 Persons +2.8%
2011 625,091 Persons +2.8%
2012 642,465 Persons +2.8%
2013 660,580 Persons +2.8%
2014 679,169 Persons +2.8%
2015 698,261 Persons +2.8%
2016 717,995 Persons +2.8%
2017 738,247 Persons +2.8%
2018 758,586 Persons +2.8%
2019 779,134 Persons +2.7%
2020 800,112 Persons +2.7%
2021 821,270 Persons +2.6%
2022 842,549 Persons +2.6%
2023 864,235 Persons +2.6%
2024 886,366 Persons +2.6%
2025 908,822 Persons +2.5%
2026 931,559 Persons +2.5%
2027 954,582 Persons +2.5%
2028 977,878 Persons +2.4%
2029 1.00 million Persons +2.4%
2030 1.03 million Persons +2.4%
2040 1.27 million Persons +24.0%
2050 1.52 million Persons +19.8%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 397,086 Persons 348,468 Persons 448,158 Persons 10
2000s 523,436 Persons 460,609 Persons 591,356 Persons 10
2010s 690,764 Persons 608,112 Persons 779,134 Persons 10
2020s 898,880 Persons 800,112 Persons 1.00 million Persons 10
2030s 1.03 million Persons 1.03 million Persons 1.03 million Persons 1
2040s 1.27 million Persons 1.27 million Persons 1.27 million Persons 1
2050s 1.52 million Persons 1.52 million Persons 1.52 million Persons 1

Countries ranked near Africa, fragile states

  1. 7 Indonesia 317,225 Persons compare
  2. 8 Brazil 230,886 Persons compare
  3. 9 Bangladesh 203,905 Persons compare
  4. 10 Egypt 160,340 Persons compare
  5. 11 Philippines 157,892 Persons compare
  6. 12 Mexico 143,772 Persons compare
  7. 13 Russian Federation 133,133 Persons compare

See the full ranking of 246 places →

More population data for Africa, fragile states

All data for Africa, fragile states →

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states was 1.52 million Persons in 2050, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates recorded in Africa, fragile states?
The highest recorded value was 1.52 million Persons in 2050.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates recorded in Africa, fragile states?
The lowest recorded value was 348,468 Persons in 1990.
How does Africa, fragile states rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates?
Africa, fragile states ranks 10th out of 48 regions with data for 2050.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates rising or falling in Africa, fragile states?
Over the last ten years it is up 19.8%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Africa, fragile states data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates — Population. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Africa, fragile states. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 24 August 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-05-demographic-estimates-population/africa-fragile-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates — Population
Unit
Persons
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
246 places, 10,557 data points, 1990–2050
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 5 shows figures on population, broken down by rural and urban population, as well as old-age and child-dependency ratios.