Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Canada

Canada: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.34 in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
1.34
Change on year
down 1.2%
World rank
202nd
of 236 countries
All-time high
3.69
in 1959
All-time low
1.34
in 2023
Years of data
103
1921–2023

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada, 1921–2023

01234192119722023

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

The most recent figure for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada is 1.34, measured in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 103 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.2% on the previous year and down 16.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada peaked at 3.69 in 1959 and was at its lowest, 1.34, in 2023.

Canada ranks 202nd of 236 countries on this measure, in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 103 years of available data.

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Canada, year by year

Annual values for Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age in Canada, 1921 to 2023.
Year Value Change
1921 3.53 —
1922 3.4 -3.6%
1923 3.21 -5.6%
1924 3.25 +1.1%
1925 3.16 -2.7%
1926 2.98 -5.7%
1927 2.96 -0.7%
1928 2.95 -0.2%
1929 2.88 -2.3%
1930 2.93 +1.6%
1931 2.87 -1.9%
1932 2.82 -2.0%
1933 2.64 -6.3%
1934 2.59 -1.7%
1935 2.57 -0.9%
1936 2.53 -1.7%
1937 2.47 -2.0%
1938 2.57 +3.8%
1939 2.55 -0.8%
1940 2.68 +5.2%
1941 2.78 +3.6%
1942 2.94 +6.0%
1943 3.04 +3.1%
1944 3.02 -0.6%
1945 3.04 +0.9%
1946 3.44 +13.0%
1947 3.69 +7.2%
1948 3.54 -4.0%
1949 3.61 +1.9%
1950 3.18 -11.8%
1951 3.24 +1.7%
1952 3.36 +4.0%
1953 3.44 +2.3%
1954 3.56 +3.3%
1955 3.56 +0.1%
1956 3.58 +0.5%
1957 3.66 +2.3%
1958 3.64 -0.6%
1959 3.69 +1.4%
1960 3.66 -0.8%
1961 3.61 -1.5%
1962 3.53 -2.2%
1963 3.45 -2.3%
1964 3.3 -4.4%
1965 2.97 -10.0%
1966 2.66 -10.4%
1967 2.46 -7.6%
1968 2.33 -5.2%
1969 2.28 -2.0%
1970 2.2 -3.7%
1971 2.04 -7.1%
1972 1.88 -7.8%
1973 1.8 -4.4%
1974 1.76 -2.3%
1975 1.75 -0.3%
1976 1.71 -2.4%
1977 1.69 -1.6%
1978 1.64 -2.5%
1979 1.64 -0.3%
1980 1.62 -0.8%
1981 1.6 -1.5%
1982 1.59 -0.8%
1983 1.58 -0.6%
1984 1.58 +0.2%
1985 1.57 -0.9%
1986 1.55 -1.1%
1987 1.54 -0.7%
1988 1.56 +1.5%
1989 1.62 +3.6%
1990 1.67 +3.3%
1991 1.7 +1.6%
1992 1.69 -0.2%
1993 1.67 -1.5%
1994 1.67 +0.1%
1995 1.65 -1.1%
1996 1.61 -2.6%
1997 1.55 -3.7%
1998 1.53 -1.0%
1999 1.52 -0.7%
2000 1.49 -2.0%
2001 1.51 +1.4%
2002 1.49 -1.2%
2003 1.52 +1.5%
2004 1.53 +0.7%
2005 1.55 +1.3%
2006 1.59 +3.0%
2007 1.64 +2.8%
2008 1.66 +1.7%
2009 1.65 -0.5%
2010 1.62 -1.9%
2011 1.61 -0.9%
2012 1.61 -0.0%
2013 1.59 -0.9%
2014 1.6 +0.2%
2015 1.58 -0.8%
2016 1.57 -0.7%
2017 1.53 -2.6%
2018 1.49 -2.5%
2019 1.46 -2.2%
2020 1.4 -4.3%
2021 1.42 +1.2%
2022 1.35 -4.5%
2023 1.34 -1.2%

Canada compared with similar countries

  • Canada's 1.34 is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 90% of the median. (85 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1920s 3.15 2.88 3.53 9
1930s 2.65 2.47 2.93 10
1940s 3.18 2.68 3.69 10
1950s 3.49 3.18 3.69 10
1960s 3.02 2.28 3.66 10
1970s 1.81 1.64 2.2 10
1980s 1.58 1.54 1.62 10
1990s 1.63 1.52 1.7 10
2000s 1.56 1.49 1.66 10
2010s 1.57 1.46 1.62 10
2020s 1.38 1.34 1.42 4

Countries ranked near Canada

  1. 199 Guernsey 1.35 compare
  2. 200 Saint Lucia 1.34 compare
  3. 201 Estonia 1.34 compare
  4. 203 Bahamas 1.33 compare
  5. 204 Albania 1.33 compare
  6. 205 Greece 1.33 compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Canada

All data for Canada →

Frequently asked questions

What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada?
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada was 1.34 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Canada?
The highest recorded value was 3.69 in 1959.
What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Canada?
The lowest recorded value was 1.34 in 2023.
How does Canada rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
Canada ranks 202nd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Canada?
Over the last ten years it is down 16.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Canada data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Canada. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/effective-fertility-rate-children-per-woman-who-are-expected-to-survive-until/canada/

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About this data

Indicator
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,723 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed