Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy
Italy: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.19 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy, 1872–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
Italy recorded 1.19 for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in 2023.
That represents a change of down 3.4% on the previous year and down 13.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy peaked at 3.26 in 1922 and was at its lowest, 1.18, in 1995.
That places Italy 217th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 152 years of available data.
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1872 | 2.49 | — |
| 1873 | 2.51 | +0.6% |
| 1874 | 2.39 | -4.7% |
| 1875 | 2.61 | +9.1% |
| 1876 | 2.82 | +8.2% |
| 1877 | 2.68 | -5.1% |
| 1878 | 2.62 | -2.0% |
| 1879 | 2.72 | +3.9% |
| 1880 | 2.4 | -12.0% |
| 1881 | 2.63 | +9.9% |
| 1882 | 2.6 | -1.4% |
| 1883 | 2.73 | +5.4% |
| 1884 | 2.98 | +8.9% |
| 1885 | 2.97 | -0.3% |
| 1886 | 2.85 | -3.8% |
| 1887 | 3.04 | +6.6% |
| 1888 | 3.01 | -1.2% |
| 1889 | 3.13 | +4.0% |
| 1890 | 2.93 | -6.3% |
| 1891 | 3.1 | +5.6% |
| 1892 | 3.06 | -1.0% |
| 1893 | 3.14 | +2.5% |
| 1894 | 3.08 | -1.8% |
| 1895 | 3.05 | -1.1% |
| 1896 | 3.1 | +1.7% |
| 1897 | 3.16 | +1.7% |
| 1898 | 3.04 | -3.7% |
| 1899 | 3.1 | +2.0% |
| 1900 | 3.03 | -2.4% |
| 1901 | 2.98 | -1.6% |
| 1902 | 3.05 | +2.6% |
| 1903 | 2.96 | -3.0% |
| 1904 | 3.09 | +4.3% |
| 1905 | 3.03 | -1.9% |
| 1906 | 3.01 | -0.7% |
| 1907 | 2.99 | -0.9% |
| 1908 | 3.13 | +4.7% |
| 1909 | 3.15 | +0.9% |
| 1910 | 3.2 | +1.4% |
| 1911 | 3.06 | -4.3% |
| 1912 | 3.21 | +4.8% |
| 1913 | 3.17 | -1.3% |
| 1914 | 3.07 | -3.3% |
| 1915 | 2.96 | -3.6% |
| 1916 | 2.34 | -20.8% |
| 1917 | 1.79 | -23.6% |
| 1918 | 1.65 | -7.8% |
| 1919 | 2.06 | +25.0% |
| 1920 | 3.17 | +54.0% |
| 1921 | 3.07 | -3.1% |
| 1922 | 3.26 | +6.0% |
| 1923 | 3.2 | -1.7% |
| 1924 | 2.96 | -7.7% |
| 1925 | 2.9 | -2.1% |
| 1926 | 2.85 | -1.5% |
| 1927 | 2.85 | -0.1% |
| 1928 | 2.79 | -2.2% |
| 1929 | 2.69 | -3.6% |
| 1930 | 2.85 | +6.2% |
| 1931 | 2.67 | -6.3% |
| 1932 | 2.61 | -2.4% |
| 1933 | 2.66 | +1.7% |
| 1934 | 2.68 | +0.9% |
| 1935 | 2.69 | +0.3% |
| 1936 | 2.57 | -4.6% |
| 1937 | 2.6 | +1.2% |
| 1938 | 2.71 | +4.4% |
| 1939 | 2.73 | +0.7% |
| 1940 | 2.7 | -1.2% |
| 1941 | 2.38 | -11.6% |
| 1942 | 2.31 | -2.9% |
| 1943 | 2.2 | -4.8% |
| 1944 | 2.04 | -7.5% |
| 1945 | 2.02 | -0.9% |
| 1946 | 2.59 | +28.3% |
| 1947 | 2.62 | +1.0% |
| 1948 | 2.62 | +0.0% |
| 1949 | 2.44 | -6.9% |
| 1950 | 2.3 | -5.7% |
| 1951 | 2.17 | -5.7% |
| 1952 | 2.13 | -1.7% |
| 1953 | 2.11 | -0.9% |
| 1954 | 2.18 | +3.4% |
| 1955 | 2.18 | +0.2% |
| 1956 | 2.19 | +0.5% |
| 1957 | 2.19 | -0.1% |
| 1958 | 2.18 | -0.5% |
| 1959 | 2.24 | +2.8% |
| 1960 | 2.25 | +0.2% |
| 1961 | 2.29 | +1.8% |
| 1962 | 2.32 | +1.3% |
| 1963 | 2.39 | +3.1% |
| 1964 | 2.53 | +6.0% |
| 1965 | 2.5 | -1.4% |
| 1966 | 2.47 | -0.9% |
| 1967 | 2.4 | -2.9% |
| 1968 | 2.39 | -0.6% |
| 1969 | 2.37 | -0.6% |
| 1970 | 2.31 | -2.7% |
| 1971 | 2.31 | +0.2% |
| 1972 | 2.27 | -1.7% |
| 1973 | 2.24 | -1.4% |
| 1974 | 2.22 | -0.7% |
| 1975 | 2.12 | -4.8% |
| 1976 | 2 | -5.4% |
| 1977 | 1.89 | -5.5% |
| 1978 | 1.8 | -4.9% |
| 1979 | 1.69 | -5.7% |
| 1980 | 1.61 | -4.8% |
| 1981 | 1.55 | -3.9% |
| 1982 | 1.53 | -1.2% |
| 1983 | 1.48 | -3.4% |
| 1984 | 1.43 | -3.0% |
| 1985 | 1.39 | -2.8% |
| 1986 | 1.33 | -4.6% |
| 1987 | 1.31 | -1.5% |
| 1988 | 1.33 | +2.0% |
| 1989 | 1.31 | -2.0% |
| 1990 | 1.31 | +0.3% |
| 1991 | 1.28 | -2.1% |
| 1992 | 1.28 | -0.5% |
| 1993 | 1.23 | -3.5% |
| 1994 | 1.19 | -3.2% |
| 1995 | 1.18 | -1.6% |
| 1996 | 1.18 | +0.7% |
| 1997 | 1.2 | +1.2% |
| 1998 | 1.2 | -0.0% |
| 1999 | 1.22 | +1.5% |
| 2000 | 1.24 | +1.8% |
| 2001 | 1.24 | -0.1% |
| 2002 | 1.25 | +1.4% |
| 2003 | 1.27 | +1.7% |
| 2004 | 1.33 | +4.1% |
| 2005 | 1.32 | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 1.35 | +2.4% |
| 2007 | 1.38 | +2.1% |
| 2008 | 1.42 | +3.0% |
| 2009 | 1.43 | +0.3% |
| 2010 | 1.43 | +0.3% |
| 2011 | 1.42 | -1.1% |
| 2012 | 1.41 | -0.7% |
| 2013 | 1.37 | -2.5% |
| 2014 | 1.36 | -1.1% |
| 2015 | 1.34 | -1.5% |
| 2016 | 1.33 | -0.6% |
| 2017 | 1.31 | -1.4% |
| 2018 | 1.28 | -2.3% |
| 2019 | 1.25 | -2.1% |
| 2020 | 1.24 | -1.3% |
| 2021 | 1.25 | +0.8% |
| 2022 | 1.23 | -1.0% |
| 2023 | 1.19 | -3.4% |
Italy compared with similar countries
- Italy's 1.19 is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 80% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Italy's 1.19 is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.48, 81% of the median. (56 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 | +54.0% | 2.06 | 3.17 |
| 1946 | +28.3% | 2.02 | 2.59 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1870s | 2.6 | 2.39 | 2.82 | 8 |
| 1880s | 2.83 | 2.4 | 3.13 | 10 |
| 1890s | 3.08 | 2.93 | 3.16 | 10 |
| 1900s | 3.04 | 2.96 | 3.15 | 10 |
| 1910s | 2.65 | 1.65 | 3.21 | 10 |
| 1920s | 2.97 | 2.69 | 3.26 | 10 |
| 1930s | 2.68 | 2.57 | 2.85 | 10 |
| 1940s | 2.39 | 2.02 | 2.7 | 10 |
| 1950s | 2.19 | 2.11 | 2.3 | 10 |
| 1960s | 2.39 | 2.25 | 2.53 | 10 |
| 1970s | 2.09 | 1.69 | 2.31 | 10 |
| 1980s | 1.43 | 1.31 | 1.61 | 10 |
| 1990s | 1.23 | 1.18 | 1.31 | 10 |
| 2000s | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 10 |
| 2010s | 1.35 | 1.25 | 1.43 | 10 |
| 2020s | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.25 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Italy
More population data for Italy
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.6708 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -0.7397 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.6708 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.5615 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 52,250 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population -0.3544 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.3246 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.676 (2100)
- Population density 119.63 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 1.26 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy?
- Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy was 1.19 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Italy?
- The highest recorded value was 3.26 in 1922.
- What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Italy?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.18 in 1995.
- How does Italy rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
- Italy ranks 217th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Italy?
- Over the last ten years it is down 13.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Italy data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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