Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy

Italy: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.19 in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
1.19
Change on year
down 3.4%
World rank
217th
of 236 countries
All-time high
3.26
in 1922
All-time low
1.18
in 1995
Years of data
152
1872–2023

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy, 1872–2023

0123187219472023

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

Italy recorded 1.19 for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in 2023.

That represents a change of down 3.4% on the previous year and down 13.1% over ten years.

Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy peaked at 3.26 in 1922 and was at its lowest, 1.18, in 1995.

That places Italy 217th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 152 years of available data.

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy, year by year

Annual values for Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age in Italy, 1872 to 2023.
Year Value Change
1872 2.49 —
1873 2.51 +0.6%
1874 2.39 -4.7%
1875 2.61 +9.1%
1876 2.82 +8.2%
1877 2.68 -5.1%
1878 2.62 -2.0%
1879 2.72 +3.9%
1880 2.4 -12.0%
1881 2.63 +9.9%
1882 2.6 -1.4%
1883 2.73 +5.4%
1884 2.98 +8.9%
1885 2.97 -0.3%
1886 2.85 -3.8%
1887 3.04 +6.6%
1888 3.01 -1.2%
1889 3.13 +4.0%
1890 2.93 -6.3%
1891 3.1 +5.6%
1892 3.06 -1.0%
1893 3.14 +2.5%
1894 3.08 -1.8%
1895 3.05 -1.1%
1896 3.1 +1.7%
1897 3.16 +1.7%
1898 3.04 -3.7%
1899 3.1 +2.0%
1900 3.03 -2.4%
1901 2.98 -1.6%
1902 3.05 +2.6%
1903 2.96 -3.0%
1904 3.09 +4.3%
1905 3.03 -1.9%
1906 3.01 -0.7%
1907 2.99 -0.9%
1908 3.13 +4.7%
1909 3.15 +0.9%
1910 3.2 +1.4%
1911 3.06 -4.3%
1912 3.21 +4.8%
1913 3.17 -1.3%
1914 3.07 -3.3%
1915 2.96 -3.6%
1916 2.34 -20.8%
1917 1.79 -23.6%
1918 1.65 -7.8%
1919 2.06 +25.0%
1920 3.17 +54.0%
1921 3.07 -3.1%
1922 3.26 +6.0%
1923 3.2 -1.7%
1924 2.96 -7.7%
1925 2.9 -2.1%
1926 2.85 -1.5%
1927 2.85 -0.1%
1928 2.79 -2.2%
1929 2.69 -3.6%
1930 2.85 +6.2%
1931 2.67 -6.3%
1932 2.61 -2.4%
1933 2.66 +1.7%
1934 2.68 +0.9%
1935 2.69 +0.3%
1936 2.57 -4.6%
1937 2.6 +1.2%
1938 2.71 +4.4%
1939 2.73 +0.7%
1940 2.7 -1.2%
1941 2.38 -11.6%
1942 2.31 -2.9%
1943 2.2 -4.8%
1944 2.04 -7.5%
1945 2.02 -0.9%
1946 2.59 +28.3%
1947 2.62 +1.0%
1948 2.62 +0.0%
1949 2.44 -6.9%
1950 2.3 -5.7%
1951 2.17 -5.7%
1952 2.13 -1.7%
1953 2.11 -0.9%
1954 2.18 +3.4%
1955 2.18 +0.2%
1956 2.19 +0.5%
1957 2.19 -0.1%
1958 2.18 -0.5%
1959 2.24 +2.8%
1960 2.25 +0.2%
1961 2.29 +1.8%
1962 2.32 +1.3%
1963 2.39 +3.1%
1964 2.53 +6.0%
1965 2.5 -1.4%
1966 2.47 -0.9%
1967 2.4 -2.9%
1968 2.39 -0.6%
1969 2.37 -0.6%
1970 2.31 -2.7%
1971 2.31 +0.2%
1972 2.27 -1.7%
1973 2.24 -1.4%
1974 2.22 -0.7%
1975 2.12 -4.8%
1976 2 -5.4%
1977 1.89 -5.5%
1978 1.8 -4.9%
1979 1.69 -5.7%
1980 1.61 -4.8%
1981 1.55 -3.9%
1982 1.53 -1.2%
1983 1.48 -3.4%
1984 1.43 -3.0%
1985 1.39 -2.8%
1986 1.33 -4.6%
1987 1.31 -1.5%
1988 1.33 +2.0%
1989 1.31 -2.0%
1990 1.31 +0.3%
1991 1.28 -2.1%
1992 1.28 -0.5%
1993 1.23 -3.5%
1994 1.19 -3.2%
1995 1.18 -1.6%
1996 1.18 +0.7%
1997 1.2 +1.2%
1998 1.2 -0.0%
1999 1.22 +1.5%
2000 1.24 +1.8%
2001 1.24 -0.1%
2002 1.25 +1.4%
2003 1.27 +1.7%
2004 1.33 +4.1%
2005 1.32 -0.3%
2006 1.35 +2.4%
2007 1.38 +2.1%
2008 1.42 +3.0%
2009 1.43 +0.3%
2010 1.43 +0.3%
2011 1.42 -1.1%
2012 1.41 -0.7%
2013 1.37 -2.5%
2014 1.36 -1.1%
2015 1.34 -1.5%
2016 1.33 -0.6%
2017 1.31 -1.4%
2018 1.28 -2.3%
2019 1.25 -2.1%
2020 1.24 -1.3%
2021 1.25 +0.8%
2022 1.23 -1.0%
2023 1.19 -3.4%

Italy compared with similar countries

  • Italy's 1.19 is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 80% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
  • Italy's 1.19 is below the median for Europe & Central Asia, which is 1.48, 81% of the median. (56 countries reporting)

Biggest year-on-year movements

Years where Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Italy changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.

YearChange FromTo
1920 +54.0% 2.06 3.17
1946 +28.3% 2.02 2.59

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1870s 2.6 2.39 2.82 8
1880s 2.83 2.4 3.13 10
1890s 3.08 2.93 3.16 10
1900s 3.04 2.96 3.15 10
1910s 2.65 1.65 3.21 10
1920s 2.97 2.69 3.26 10
1930s 2.68 2.57 2.85 10
1940s 2.39 2.02 2.7 10
1950s 2.19 2.11 2.3 10
1960s 2.39 2.25 2.53 10
1970s 2.09 1.69 2.31 10
1980s 1.43 1.31 1.61 10
1990s 1.23 1.18 1.31 10
2000s 1.32 1.24 1.43 10
2010s 1.35 1.25 1.43 10
2020s 1.23 1.19 1.25 4

Countries ranked near Italy

  1. 214 Spain 1.21 compare
  2. 215 Japan 1.2 compare
  3. 216 Belarus 1.2 compare
  4. 218 United Arab Emirates 1.19 compare
  5. 219 Thailand 1.19 compare
  6. 220 Lithuania 1.19 compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Italy

All data for Italy →

Frequently asked questions

What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy?
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy was 1.19 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Italy?
The highest recorded value was 3.26 in 1922.
What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Italy?
The lowest recorded value was 1.18 in 1995.
How does Italy rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
Italy ranks 217th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Italy?
Over the last ten years it is down 13.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Italy data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Italy. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/effective-fertility-rate-children-per-woman-who-are-expected-to-survive-until/italy/

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About this data

Indicator
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,723 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed