Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Japan
Japan: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 1.2 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Japan, 1947–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
The most recent figure for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Japan is 1.2, measured in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 3.8% on the previous year and down 12.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Japan peaked at 4.16 in 1948 and was at its lowest, 1.2, in 2023.
That places Japan 215th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Japan, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1947 | 4.15 | — |
| 1948 | 4.16 | +0.2% |
| 1949 | 4.13 | -0.8% |
| 1950 | 3.27 | -20.8% |
| 1951 | 2.94 | -9.9% |
| 1952 | 2.72 | -7.8% |
| 1953 | 2.48 | -8.8% |
| 1954 | 2.3 | -7.1% |
| 1955 | 2.2 | -4.2% |
| 1956 | 2.07 | -5.9% |
| 1957 | 1.92 | -7.3% |
| 1958 | 1.99 | +3.4% |
| 1959 | 1.94 | -2.5% |
| 1960 | 1.89 | -2.3% |
| 1961 | 1.85 | -2.4% |
| 1962 | 1.85 | +0.2% |
| 1963 | 1.88 | +1.5% |
| 1964 | 1.93 | +2.7% |
| 1965 | 2.02 | +4.7% |
| 1966 | 1.59 | -21.6% |
| 1967 | 2.1 | +32.3% |
| 1968 | 2.01 | -4.2% |
| 1969 | 1.98 | -1.7% |
| 1970 | 1.99 | +0.5% |
| 1971 | 2.04 | +2.7% |
| 1972 | 2.07 | +1.3% |
| 1973 | 2.1 | +1.6% |
| 1974 | 2.02 | -3.6% |
| 1975 | 1.88 | -6.9% |
| 1976 | 1.81 | -4.1% |
| 1977 | 1.76 | -2.8% |
| 1978 | 1.76 | -0.1% |
| 1979 | 1.74 | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 1.71 | -1.7% |
| 1981 | 1.69 | -1.2% |
| 1982 | 1.71 | +1.2% |
| 1983 | 1.74 | +1.9% |
| 1984 | 1.76 | +0.6% |
| 1985 | 1.71 | -2.4% |
| 1986 | 1.68 | -2.1% |
| 1987 | 1.64 | -1.8% |
| 1988 | 1.6 | -2.4% |
| 1989 | 1.53 | -4.8% |
| 1990 | 1.49 | -2.4% |
| 1991 | 1.49 | -0.4% |
| 1992 | 1.46 | -1.7% |
| 1993 | 1.42 | -2.5% |
| 1994 | 1.45 | +2.0% |
| 1995 | 1.39 | -4.1% |
| 1996 | 1.39 | -0.2% |
| 1997 | 1.36 | -1.9% |
| 1998 | 1.36 | -0.4% |
| 1999 | 1.33 | -2.2% |
| 2000 | 1.33 | +0.5% |
| 2001 | 1.31 | -1.5% |
| 2002 | 1.3 | -1.3% |
| 2003 | 1.27 | -1.8% |
| 2004 | 1.27 | -0.6% |
| 2005 | 1.24 | -2.5% |
| 2006 | 1.28 | +3.2% |
| 2007 | 1.3 | +1.6% |
| 2008 | 1.32 | +1.9% |
| 2009 | 1.32 | +0.3% |
| 2010 | 1.35 | +1.8% |
| 2011 | 1.35 | +0.4% |
| 2012 | 1.37 | +1.0% |
| 2013 | 1.38 | +1.0% |
| 2014 | 1.38 | -0.1% |
| 2015 | 1.41 | +2.0% |
| 2016 | 1.4 | -0.5% |
| 2017 | 1.38 | -1.3% |
| 2018 | 1.37 | -1.2% |
| 2019 | 1.32 | -3.6% |
| 2020 | 1.3 | -1.4% |
| 2021 | 1.27 | -2.2% |
| 2022 | 1.25 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | 1.2 | -3.8% |
Japan compared with similar countries
- Japan's 1.2 is below the median for high income countries, which is 1.49, 81% of the median. (85 countries reporting)
- Japan's 1.2 is below the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 2.05, 59% of the median. (37 countries reporting)
Biggest year-on-year movements
Years where Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Japan changed far more than this series normally does. A large move can be a real event or a change in how the figure was measured — the source note below says who published it.
| Year | Change | From | To |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1967 | +32.3% | 1.59 | 2.1 |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1940s | 4.15 | 4.13 | 4.16 | 3 |
| 1950s | 2.38 | 1.92 | 3.27 | 10 |
| 1960s | 1.91 | 1.59 | 2.1 | 10 |
| 1970s | 1.92 | 1.74 | 2.1 | 10 |
| 1980s | 1.68 | 1.53 | 1.76 | 10 |
| 1990s | 1.41 | 1.33 | 1.49 | 10 |
| 2000s | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.33 | 10 |
| 2010s | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.41 | 10 |
| 2020s | 1.25 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Japan
More population data for Japan
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -5.09 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.4984 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.5507 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 103,784 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population -0.5891 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.2372 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.501 (2100)
- Population density 210.83 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 2.83 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Japan?
- Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Japan was 1.2 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Japan?
- The highest recorded value was 4.16 in 1948.
- What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Japan?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.2 in 2023.
- How does Japan rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
- Japan ranks 215th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Japan?
- Over the last ten years it is down 12.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Japan data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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