Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan

Japan: Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age was 1.2 children per women in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
1.2 children per women
Change on year
down 3.8%
World rank
215th
of 236 countries
All-time high
4.16 children per women
in 1948
All-time low
1.2 children per women
in 2023
Years of data
77
1947–2023

Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan, 1947–2023

1234194719852023

Source: Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in children per women.

Analysis

The most recent figure for fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan is 1.2 children per women, measured in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 77 years on record.

Compared with earlier readings it is down 3.8% on the previous year and down 12.9% over ten years.

Over the whole period, fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan peaked at 4.16 children per women in 1948 and was at its lowest, 1.2 children per women, in 2023.

That places Japan 215th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the bottom quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 77 years of available data.

Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan, year by year

Annual values for Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan, 1947 to 2023.
Year children per women Change
1947 4.15 children per women
1948 4.16 children per women +0.2%
1949 4.13 children per women -0.8%
1950 3.27 children per women -20.8%
1951 2.94 children per women -9.9%
1952 2.72 children per women -7.8%
1953 2.48 children per women -8.8%
1954 2.3 children per women -7.1%
1955 2.2 children per women -4.2%
1956 2.07 children per women -5.9%
1957 1.92 children per women -7.3%
1958 1.99 children per women +3.4%
1959 1.94 children per women -2.5%
1960 1.89 children per women -2.3%
1961 1.85 children per women -2.4%
1962 1.85 children per women +0.2%
1963 1.88 children per women +1.5%
1964 1.93 children per women +2.7%
1965 2.02 children per women +4.7%
1966 1.59 children per women -21.6%
1967 2.1 children per women +32.3%
1968 2.01 children per women -4.2%
1969 1.98 children per women -1.7%
1970 1.99 children per women +0.5%
1971 2.04 children per women +2.7%
1972 2.07 children per women +1.3%
1973 2.1 children per women +1.6%
1974 2.02 children per women -3.6%
1975 1.88 children per women -6.9%
1976 1.81 children per women -4.1%
1977 1.76 children per women -2.8%
1978 1.76 children per women -0.1%
1979 1.74 children per women -0.9%
1980 1.71 children per women -1.7%
1981 1.69 children per women -1.2%
1982 1.71 children per women +1.2%
1983 1.74 children per women +1.9%
1984 1.76 children per women +0.6%
1985 1.71 children per women -2.4%
1986 1.68 children per women -2.1%
1987 1.64 children per women -1.8%
1988 1.6 children per women -2.4%
1989 1.53 children per women -4.8%
1990 1.49 children per women -2.4%
1991 1.49 children per women -0.4%
1992 1.46 children per women -1.7%
1993 1.42 children per women -2.5%
1994 1.45 children per women +2.0%
1995 1.39 children per women -4.1%
1996 1.39 children per women -0.2%
1997 1.36 children per women -1.9%
1998 1.36 children per women -0.4%
1999 1.33 children per women -2.2%
2000 1.33 children per women +0.5%
2001 1.31 children per women -1.5%
2002 1.3 children per women -1.3%
2003 1.27 children per women -1.8%
2004 1.27 children per women -0.6%
2005 1.24 children per women -2.5%
2006 1.28 children per women +3.2%
2007 1.3 children per women +1.6%
2008 1.32 children per women +1.9%
2009 1.32 children per women +0.3%
2010 1.35 children per women +1.8%
2011 1.35 children per women +0.4%
2012 1.37 children per women +1.0%
2013 1.38 children per women +1.0%
2014 1.38 children per women -0.1%
2015 1.41 children per women +2.0%
2016 1.4 children per women -0.5%
2017 1.38 children per women -1.3%
2018 1.37 children per women -1.2%
2019 1.32 children per women -3.6%
2020 1.3 children per women -1.4%
2021 1.27 children per women -2.2%
2022 1.25 children per women -1.5%
2023 1.2 children per women -3.8%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1940s 4.15 children per women 4.13 children per women 4.16 children per women 3
1950s 2.38 children per women 1.92 children per women 3.27 children per women 10
1960s 1.91 children per women 1.59 children per women 2.1 children per women 10
1970s 1.92 children per women 1.74 children per women 2.1 children per women 10
1980s 1.68 children per women 1.53 children per women 1.76 children per women 10
1990s 1.41 children per women 1.33 children per women 1.49 children per women 10
2000s 1.29 children per women 1.24 children per women 1.33 children per women 10
2010s 1.37 children per women 1.32 children per women 1.41 children per women 10
2020s 1.25 children per women 1.2 children per women 1.3 children per women 4

Countries ranked near Japan

  1. 212 Saint Pierre and Miquelon 1.25 children per women compare
  2. 213 Mauritius 1.21 children per women compare
  3. 214 Spain 1.21 children per women compare
  4. 216 Belarus 1.2 children per women compare
  5. 217 Italy 1.19 children per women compare
  6. 218 United Arab Emirates 1.19 children per women compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Japan

All data for Japan →

Frequently asked questions

What is fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan?
Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan was 1.2 children per women in 2023, according to Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data.
What is the highest fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age recorded in Japan?
The highest recorded value was 4.16 children per women in 1948.
What is the lowest fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age recorded in Japan?
The lowest recorded value was 1.2 children per women in 2023.
How does Japan rank for fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age?
Japan ranks 215th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age rising or falling in Japan?
Over the last ten years it is down 12.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Japan data come from?
The figures come from Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Japan. Statizoid, drawing on Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data. Retrieved 06 September 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/effective-fertility-rate-children-per-woman-who-are-expected-to-survive-until/japan/

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About this data

Indicator
Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age
Unit
children per women
Source
Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,723 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed

Number of children who live long enough to reproduce, per woman. This number is dependent on the survival of daughters to childbearing age (between 15 and 49 years old).