Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Kenya

Kenya: Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected was 2.96 in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
2.96
Change on year
down 1.5%
World rank
55th
of 236 countries
All-time high
6.15
in 1977
All-time low
2.96
in 2023
Years of data
74
1950–2023

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya, 1950–2023

0246195019862023

Source: Our World in Data.

Analysis

The most recent figure for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya is 2.96, measured in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 74 years on record.

The figure is down 1.5% on the previous year and down 17.6% over ten years.

Over the whole period, effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya peaked at 6.15 in 1977 and was at its lowest, 2.96, in 2023.

That places Kenya 55th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.

Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected in Kenya, year by year

Annual values for Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age in Kenya, 1950 to 2023.
Year Value Change
1950 4.61 —
1951 4.71 +2.3%
1952 4.82 +2.2%
1953 4.92 +2.2%
1954 5.02 +2.0%
1955 5.12 +2.0%
1956 5.23 +2.2%
1957 5.35 +2.2%
1958 5.43 +1.6%
1959 5.52 +1.6%
1960 5.58 +1.0%
1961 5.67 +1.6%
1962 5.74 +1.4%
1963 5.81 +1.2%
1964 5.88 +1.1%
1965 5.94 +1.1%
1966 5.99 +0.8%
1967 6.01 +0.4%
1968 6.03 +0.3%
1969 6.06 +0.4%
1970 6.08 +0.4%
1971 6.09 +0.2%
1972 6.1 +0.2%
1973 6.11 +0.1%
1974 6.11 +0.1%
1975 6.13 +0.2%
1976 6.14 +0.2%
1977 6.15 +0.1%
1978 6.14 -0.2%
1979 6.12 -0.3%
1980 6.1 -0.3%
1981 6.07 -0.5%
1982 6.01 -1.0%
1983 5.93 -1.3%
1984 5.84 -1.5%
1985 5.75 -1.5%
1986 5.66 -1.5%
1987 5.54 -2.1%
1988 5.41 -2.5%
1989 5.26 -2.8%
1990 5.1 -3.1%
1991 4.94 -3.1%
1992 4.77 -3.3%
1993 4.64 -2.8%
1994 4.54 -2.1%
1995 4.5 -0.9%
1996 4.46 -0.8%
1997 4.45 -0.3%
1998 4.45 +0.1%
1999 4.42 -0.7%
2000 4.41 -0.2%
2001 4.4 -0.2%
2002 4.37 -0.7%
2003 4.32 -1.2%
2004 4.28 -1.0%
2005 4.25 -0.7%
2006 4.23 -0.5%
2007 4.21 -0.3%
2008 4.18 -0.8%
2009 4.11 -1.7%
2010 4.01 -2.4%
2011 3.88 -3.4%
2012 3.73 -3.7%
2013 3.59 -3.7%
2014 3.5 -2.7%
2015 3.43 -1.9%
2016 3.36 -2.0%
2017 3.29 -2.1%
2018 3.23 -1.9%
2019 3.14 -2.7%
2020 3.09 -1.7%
2021 3.05 -1.3%
2022 3.01 -1.4%
2023 2.96 -1.5%

Kenya compared with similar countries

  • Kenya's 2.96 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 2.96, 1.0× the median. (47 countries reporting)
  • Kenya's 2.96 is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 3.63, 82% of the median. (48 countries reporting)

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1950s 5.07 4.61 5.52 10
1960s 5.87 5.58 6.06 10
1970s 6.12 6.08 6.15 10
1980s 5.76 5.26 6.1 10
1990s 4.63 4.42 5.1 10
2000s 4.28 4.11 4.41 10
2010s 3.52 3.14 4.01 10
2020s 3.03 2.96 3.09 4

Countries ranked near Kenya

  1. 52 Tonga 3.05 compare
  2. 53 Nauru 3.04 compare
  3. 54 Namibia 3.03 compare
  4. 56 Tajikistan 2.96 compare
  5. 57 Kazakhstan 2.95 compare
  6. 58 Kiribati 2.91 compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More population data for Kenya

All data for Kenya →

Frequently asked questions

What is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya?
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya was 2.96 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
What is the highest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Kenya?
The highest recorded value was 6.15 in 1977.
What is the lowest effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to recorded in Kenya?
The lowest recorded value was 2.96 in 2023.
How does Kenya rank for effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to?
Kenya ranks 55th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to rising or falling in Kenya?
Over the last ten years it is down 17.6%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Kenya data come from?
The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to in Kenya. Statizoid, drawing on Our World in Data. Retrieved 11 November 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/effective-fertility-rate-children-per-woman-who-are-expected-to-survive-until/kenya/

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About this data

Indicator
Effective fertility rate children per woman who are expected to survive until childbearing age
Source
Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,723 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed