Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau
Tokelau: Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age was 2.56 children per women in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
2.56 children per women
Change on year
down 1.2%
World rank
73rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
5.12 children per women
in 1961
All-time low
2.56 children per women
in 2023
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau, 1950–2023
Source: Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data. Measured in children per women.
Analysis
Tokelau recorded 2.56 children per women for fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 74 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 1.2% on the previous year and down 13.7% over ten years.
Over the whole period, fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau peaked at 5.12 children per women in 1961 and was at its lowest, 2.56 children per women, in 2023.
Tokelau ranks 73rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau, year by year
| Year | children per women | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 4.37 children per women | — |
| 1951 | 4.48 children per women | +2.5% |
| 1952 | 4.57 children per women | +2.1% |
| 1953 | 4.66 children per women | +1.8% |
| 1954 | 4.69 children per women | +0.6% |
| 1955 | 4.8 children per women | +2.4% |
| 1956 | 4.91 children per women | +2.3% |
| 1957 | 4.95 children per women | +0.9% |
| 1958 | 5.01 children per women | +1.2% |
| 1959 | 5.06 children per women | +1.1% |
| 1960 | 5.11 children per women | +0.8% |
| 1961 | 5.12 children per women | +0.2% |
| 1962 | 5.11 children per women | -0.0% |
| 1963 | 5.1 children per women | -0.2% |
| 1964 | 5.09 children per women | -0.3% |
| 1965 | 5.05 children per women | -0.8% |
| 1966 | 4.98 children per women | -1.2% |
| 1967 | 4.92 children per women | -1.3% |
| 1968 | 4.84 children per women | -1.5% |
| 1969 | 4.76 children per women | -1.7% |
| 1970 | 4.66 children per women | -2.1% |
| 1971 | 4.57 children per women | -1.9% |
| 1972 | 4.47 children per women | -2.2% |
| 1973 | 4.34 children per women | -2.9% |
| 1974 | 4.22 children per women | -2.8% |
| 1975 | 4.13 children per women | -2.2% |
| 1976 | 4.05 children per women | -1.9% |
| 1977 | 3.97 children per women | -2.0% |
| 1978 | 3.92 children per women | -1.4% |
| 1979 | 3.87 children per women | -1.2% |
| 1980 | 3.86 children per women | -0.2% |
| 1981 | 3.85 children per women | -0.3% |
| 1982 | 3.85 children per women | +0.1% |
| 1983 | 3.89 children per women | +1.1% |
| 1984 | 3.95 children per women | +1.5% |
| 1985 | 4 children per women | +1.3% |
| 1986 | 4.07 children per women | +1.7% |
| 1987 | 4.14 children per women | +1.7% |
| 1988 | 4.23 children per women | +2.3% |
| 1989 | 4.32 children per women | +2.2% |
| 1990 | 4.38 children per women | +1.4% |
| 1991 | 4.42 children per women | +0.9% |
| 1992 | 4.43 children per women | +0.3% |
| 1993 | 4.41 children per women | -0.5% |
| 1994 | 4.36 children per women | -1.2% |
| 1995 | 4.31 children per women | -1.1% |
| 1996 | 4.23 children per women | -1.9% |
| 1997 | 4.13 children per women | -2.5% |
| 1998 | 4 children per women | -3.0% |
| 1999 | 3.87 children per women | -3.3% |
| 2000 | 3.71 children per women | -4.3% |
| 2001 | 3.56 children per women | -3.9% |
| 2002 | 3.46 children per women | -2.7% |
| 2003 | 3.41 children per women | -1.5% |
| 2004 | 3.37 children per women | -1.2% |
| 2005 | 3.35 children per women | -0.8% |
| 2006 | 3.33 children per women | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 3.31 children per women | -0.5% |
| 2008 | 3.29 children per women | -0.6% |
| 2009 | 3.26 children per women | -1.0% |
| 2010 | 3.17 children per women | -2.7% |
| 2011 | 3.09 children per women | -2.6% |
| 2012 | 3.02 children per women | -2.1% |
| 2013 | 2.97 children per women | -1.7% |
| 2014 | 2.92 children per women | -1.8% |
| 2015 | 2.86 children per women | -2.1% |
| 2016 | 2.8 children per women | -2.0% |
| 2017 | 2.75 children per women | -1.8% |
| 2018 | 2.72 children per women | -1.2% |
| 2019 | 2.69 children per women | -1.1% |
| 2020 | 2.66 children per women | -1.2% |
| 2021 | 2.63 children per women | -1.0% |
| 2022 | 2.6 children per women | -1.3% |
| 2023 | 2.56 children per women | -1.2% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 4.75 children per women | 4.37 children per women | 5.06 children per women | 10 |
| 1960s | 5.01 children per women | 4.76 children per women | 5.12 children per women | 10 |
| 1970s | 4.22 children per women | 3.87 children per women | 4.66 children per women | 10 |
| 1980s | 4.02 children per women | 3.85 children per women | 4.32 children per women | 10 |
| 1990s | 4.26 children per women | 3.87 children per women | 4.43 children per women | 10 |
| 2000s | 3.4 children per women | 3.26 children per women | 3.71 children per women | 10 |
| 2010s | 2.9 children per women | 2.69 children per women | 3.17 children per women | 10 |
| 2020s | 2.61 children per women | 2.56 children per women | 2.66 children per women | 4 |
Countries ranked near Tokelau
More population data for Tokelau
- Population density 438.5 people per km² (2100)
- World population growth -0.1% (2100)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.4386 % change on previous year (2100)
- Number of children under 5, by world region 227 people (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.0709 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate 0.6321 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate, by level of development -0.1% (2100)
- Population aged 25-64 years (thousands), annual growth rate 4.92 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau?
- Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age in Tokelau was 2.56 children per women in 2023, according to Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age recorded in Tokelau?
- The highest recorded value was 5.12 children per women in 1961.
- What is the lowest fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age recorded in Tokelau?
- The lowest recorded value was 2.56 children per women in 2023.
- How does Tokelau rank for fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age?
- Tokelau ranks 73rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age rising or falling in Tokelau?
- Over the last ten years it is down 13.7%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Tokelau data come from?
- The figures come from Malani and Jacob (2024); UN, World Population Prospects (2024); Human Mortality Database (2025) – processed by Our World in Data, published as part of Fertility rate accounting for survival until childbearing age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Number of children who live long enough to reproduce, per woman. This number is dependent on the survival of daughters to childbearing age (between 15 and 49 years old).