Fertility rate with projections in Kenya
Kenya: Fertility rate with projections was 3.21 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
3.21
Change on year
down 1.7%
World rank
53rd
of 236 countries
All-time high
7.96
in 1966
All-time low
3.21
in 2023
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Fertility rate with projections in Kenya, 1950–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
The most recent figure for fertility rate with projections in Kenya is 3.21, measured in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 74 years on record.
That represents a change of down 1.7% on the previous year and down 18.9% over ten years.
Over the whole period, fertility rate with projections in Kenya peaked at 7.96 in 1966 and was at its lowest, 3.21, in 2023.
Kenya ranks 53rd of 236 countries on this measure, in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Fertility rate with projections in Kenya, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 7.39 | — |
| 1951 | 7.4 | +0.1% |
| 1952 | 7.41 | +0.1% |
| 1953 | 7.43 | +0.2% |
| 1954 | 7.43 | +0.1% |
| 1955 | 7.46 | +0.3% |
| 1956 | 7.51 | +0.7% |
| 1957 | 7.57 | +0.8% |
| 1958 | 7.6 | +0.4% |
| 1959 | 7.64 | +0.5% |
| 1960 | 7.65 | +0.1% |
| 1961 | 7.71 | +0.8% |
| 1962 | 7.77 | +0.7% |
| 1963 | 7.82 | +0.6% |
| 1964 | 7.87 | +0.7% |
| 1965 | 7.92 | +0.7% |
| 1966 | 7.96 | +0.4% |
| 1967 | 7.95 | -0.0% |
| 1968 | 7.95 | -0.1% |
| 1969 | 7.95 | -0.0% |
| 1970 | 7.94 | -0.1% |
| 1971 | 7.92 | -0.3% |
| 1972 | 7.89 | -0.4% |
| 1973 | 7.86 | -0.4% |
| 1974 | 7.82 | -0.5% |
| 1975 | 7.79 | -0.3% |
| 1976 | 7.77 | -0.4% |
| 1977 | 7.73 | -0.5% |
| 1978 | 7.67 | -0.8% |
| 1979 | 7.6 | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 7.53 | -0.9% |
| 1981 | 7.45 | -1.0% |
| 1982 | 7.34 | -1.5% |
| 1983 | 7.22 | -1.7% |
| 1984 | 7.08 | -1.9% |
| 1985 | 6.96 | -1.7% |
| 1986 | 6.84 | -1.7% |
| 1987 | 6.69 | -2.3% |
| 1988 | 6.51 | -2.6% |
| 1989 | 6.33 | -2.8% |
| 1990 | 6.13 | -3.1% |
| 1991 | 5.94 | -3.2% |
| 1992 | 5.74 | -3.4% |
| 1993 | 5.57 | -3.0% |
| 1994 | 5.44 | -2.4% |
| 1995 | 5.37 | -1.2% |
| 1996 | 5.31 | -1.2% |
| 1997 | 5.27 | -0.7% |
| 1998 | 5.24 | -0.5% |
| 1999 | 5.18 | -1.3% |
| 2000 | 5.14 | -0.8% |
| 2001 | 5.09 | -0.8% |
| 2002 | 5.03 | -1.3% |
| 2003 | 4.94 | -1.8% |
| 2004 | 4.86 | -1.5% |
| 2005 | 4.8 | -1.2% |
| 2006 | 4.75 | -1.0% |
| 2007 | 4.72 | -0.8% |
| 2008 | 4.66 | -1.2% |
| 2009 | 4.57 | -2.0% |
| 2010 | 4.45 | -2.6% |
| 2011 | 4.28 | -3.6% |
| 2012 | 4.12 | -3.9% |
| 2013 | 3.96 | -3.9% |
| 2014 | 3.84 | -2.8% |
| 2015 | 3.77 | -2.0% |
| 2016 | 3.69 | -2.0% |
| 2017 | 3.61 | -2.2% |
| 2018 | 3.54 | -2.0% |
| 2019 | 3.43 | -2.9% |
| 2020 | 3.36 | -2.0% |
| 2021 | 3.31 | -1.5% |
| 2022 | 3.26 | -1.5% |
| 2023 | 3.21 | -1.7% |
Kenya compared with similar countries
- Kenya's 3.21 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 3.15, 1.0× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Kenya's 3.21 is below the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 4, 80% of the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 7.48 | 7.39 | 7.64 | 10 |
| 1960s | 7.85 | 7.65 | 7.96 | 10 |
| 1970s | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.94 | 10 |
| 1980s | 7 | 6.33 | 7.53 | 10 |
| 1990s | 5.52 | 5.18 | 6.13 | 10 |
| 2000s | 4.86 | 4.57 | 5.14 | 10 |
| 2010s | 3.87 | 3.43 | 4.45 | 10 |
| 2020s | 3.29 | 3.21 | 3.36 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Kenya
More population data for Kenya
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.0288 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -2.22 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.0288 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate 0.1094 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 85,212 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population 1.9 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.7363 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate -0.038 (2100)
- Population density 183.07 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 6.40 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is fertility rate with projections in Kenya?
- Fertility rate with projections in Kenya was 3.21 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest fertility rate with projections recorded in Kenya?
- The highest recorded value was 7.96 in 1966.
- What is the lowest fertility rate with projections recorded in Kenya?
- The lowest recorded value was 3.21 in 2023.
- How does Kenya rank for fertility rate with projections?
- Kenya ranks 53rd out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is fertility rate with projections rising or falling in Kenya?
- Over the last ten years it is down 18.9%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Kenya data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Fertility rate with projections. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 74 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).