Long run birth rate in Nigeria
Nigeria: Long run birth rate was 32.95 in 2023. ▼ Falling
Latest (2023)
32.95
Change on year
down 0.7%
World rank
21st
of 236 countries
All-time high
49.25
in 1978
All-time low
32.95
in 2023
Years of data
74
1950–2023
Long run birth rate in Nigeria, 1950–2023
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
Nigeria recorded 32.95 for long run birth rate in 2023. That is the lowest value across all 74 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 0.7% on the previous year and down 18.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, long run birth rate in Nigeria peaked at 49.25 in 1978 and was at its lowest, 32.95, in 2023.
Nigeria ranks 21st of 236 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Long run birth rate in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 45.78 | — |
| 1951 | 45.86 | +0.2% |
| 1952 | 45.8 | -0.1% |
| 1953 | 45.93 | +0.3% |
| 1954 | 45.99 | +0.1% |
| 1955 | 46.11 | +0.3% |
| 1956 | 46.23 | +0.3% |
| 1957 | 46.34 | +0.2% |
| 1958 | 46.37 | +0.1% |
| 1959 | 46.37 | +0.0% |
| 1960 | 46.46 | +0.2% |
| 1961 | 46.55 | +0.2% |
| 1962 | 46.74 | +0.4% |
| 1963 | 46.76 | +0.0% |
| 1964 | 46.87 | +0.2% |
| 1965 | 46.9 | +0.1% |
| 1966 | 47 | +0.2% |
| 1967 | 47.06 | +0.1% |
| 1968 | 47.16 | +0.2% |
| 1969 | 47.26 | +0.2% |
| 1970 | 47.38 | +0.3% |
| 1971 | 47.77 | +0.8% |
| 1972 | 47.95 | +0.4% |
| 1973 | 48.19 | +0.5% |
| 1974 | 48.66 | +1.0% |
| 1975 | 49.01 | +0.7% |
| 1976 | 49 | -0.0% |
| 1977 | 49.12 | +0.2% |
| 1978 | 49.25 | +0.3% |
| 1979 | 48.8 | -0.9% |
| 1980 | 48.29 | -1.0% |
| 1981 | 47.86 | -0.9% |
| 1982 | 47.53 | -0.7% |
| 1983 | 47.53 | +0.0% |
| 1984 | 46.54 | -2.1% |
| 1985 | 45.9 | -1.4% |
| 1986 | 45.29 | -1.3% |
| 1987 | 44.85 | -1.0% |
| 1988 | 44.72 | -0.3% |
| 1989 | 44.79 | +0.2% |
| 1990 | 44.51 | -0.6% |
| 1991 | 44.32 | -0.4% |
| 1992 | 44.21 | -0.2% |
| 1993 | 44.11 | -0.2% |
| 1994 | 43.99 | -0.3% |
| 1995 | 44.08 | +0.2% |
| 1996 | 43.85 | -0.5% |
| 1997 | 43.51 | -0.8% |
| 1998 | 43.22 | -0.7% |
| 1999 | 43.45 | +0.5% |
| 2000 | 43.89 | +1.0% |
| 2001 | 43.93 | +0.1% |
| 2002 | 43.82 | -0.3% |
| 2003 | 43.71 | -0.3% |
| 2004 | 43.47 | -0.5% |
| 2005 | 43.37 | -0.2% |
| 2006 | 43.17 | -0.5% |
| 2007 | 42.9 | -0.6% |
| 2008 | 42.8 | -0.2% |
| 2009 | 42.5 | -0.7% |
| 2010 | 42.14 | -0.8% |
| 2011 | 41.79 | -0.8% |
| 2012 | 41.12 | -1.6% |
| 2013 | 40.44 | -1.6% |
| 2014 | 39.89 | -1.4% |
| 2015 | 38.95 | -2.4% |
| 2016 | 37.77 | -3.0% |
| 2017 | 36.69 | -2.9% |
| 2018 | 35.69 | -2.7% |
| 2019 | 34.69 | -2.8% |
| 2020 | 33.73 | -2.7% |
| 2021 | 33.55 | -0.6% |
| 2022 | 33.19 | -1.1% |
| 2023 | 32.95 | -0.7% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 32.95 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 25.89, 1.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 32.95 is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 31.17, 1.1× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 46.08 | 45.78 | 46.37 | 10 |
| 1960s | 46.88 | 46.46 | 47.26 | 10 |
| 1970s | 48.51 | 47.38 | 49.25 | 10 |
| 1980s | 46.33 | 44.72 | 48.29 | 10 |
| 1990s | 43.92 | 43.22 | 44.51 | 10 |
| 2000s | 43.36 | 42.5 | 43.93 | 10 |
| 2010s | 38.92 | 34.69 | 42.14 | 10 |
| 2020s | 33.36 | 32.95 | 33.73 | 4 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
More population data for Nigeria
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate 0.0306 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate -3.23 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate 0.0306 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate 0.1509 % change on previous year (2100)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates 377,460 Persons (2050)
- Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 03 - Annual population 2.22 Percent per annum (2030)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.5063 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate 0.023 (2100)
- Population density 523.46 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 32.05 million (2100)
Frequently asked questions
- What is long run birth rate in Nigeria?
- Long run birth rate in Nigeria was 32.95 in 2023, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest long run birth rate recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 49.25 in 1978.
- What is the lowest long run birth rate recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 32.95 in 2023.
- How does Nigeria rank for long run birth rate?
- Nigeria ranks 21st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is long run birth rate rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 18.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Long run birth rate. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
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