Population long run with projections in Tokelau
Tokelau: Population long run with projections was 4,385 in 2100. ▲ Rising
Latest (2100)
4,385
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
230th
of 236 countries
All-time high
4,446
in 2081
All-time low
2,528
in 2024
Years of data
77
2024–2100
Population long run with projections in Tokelau, 2024–2100
Source: Our World in Data.
Analysis
In 2100, population long run with projections in Tokelau stood at 4,385.
That represents a change of down 0.2% on the previous year and down 1.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, population long run with projections in Tokelau peaked at 4,446 in 2081 and was at its lowest, 2,528, in 2024.
That places Tokelau 230th out of 236 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 77 years of available data.
Population long run with projections in Tokelau, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2,528 | — |
| 2025 | 2,632 | +4.1% |
| 2026 | 2,715 | +3.2% |
| 2027 | 2,787 | +2.7% |
| 2028 | 2,866 | +2.8% |
| 2029 | 2,941 | +2.6% |
| 2030 | 3,006 | +2.2% |
| 2031 | 3,078 | +2.4% |
| 2032 | 3,144 | +2.1% |
| 2033 | 3,201 | +1.8% |
| 2034 | 3,250 | +1.5% |
| 2035 | 3,302 | +1.6% |
| 2036 | 3,359 | +1.7% |
| 2037 | 3,410 | +1.5% |
| 2038 | 3,458 | +1.4% |
| 2039 | 3,498 | +1.2% |
| 2040 | 3,536 | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 3,571 | +1.0% |
| 2042 | 3,607 | +1.0% |
| 2043 | 3,642 | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 3,676 | +0.9% |
| 2045 | 3,712 | +1.0% |
| 2046 | 3,743 | +0.8% |
| 2047 | 3,768 | +0.7% |
| 2048 | 3,793 | +0.7% |
| 2049 | 3,820 | +0.7% |
| 2050 | 3,844 | +0.6% |
| 2051 | 3,859 | +0.4% |
| 2052 | 3,890 | +0.8% |
| 2053 | 3,922 | +0.8% |
| 2054 | 3,945 | +0.6% |
| 2055 | 3,971 | +0.7% |
| 2056 | 3,995 | +0.6% |
| 2057 | 4,014 | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 4,041 | +0.7% |
| 2059 | 4,075 | +0.8% |
| 2060 | 4,099 | +0.6% |
| 2061 | 4,117 | +0.4% |
| 2062 | 4,140 | +0.6% |
| 2063 | 4,162 | +0.5% |
| 2064 | 4,184 | +0.5% |
| 2065 | 4,202 | +0.4% |
| 2066 | 4,231 | +0.7% |
| 2067 | 4,255 | +0.6% |
| 2068 | 4,274 | +0.4% |
| 2069 | 4,297 | +0.5% |
| 2070 | 4,321 | +0.6% |
| 2071 | 4,343 | +0.5% |
| 2072 | 4,365 | +0.5% |
| 2073 | 4,384 | +0.4% |
| 2074 | 4,397 | +0.3% |
| 2075 | 4,402 | +0.1% |
| 2076 | 4,411 | +0.2% |
| 2077 | 4,420 | +0.2% |
| 2078 | 4,425 | +0.1% |
| 2079 | 4,435 | +0.2% |
| 2080 | 4,440 | +0.1% |
| 2081 | 4,446 | +0.1% |
| 2082 | 4,443 | -0.1% |
| 2083 | 4,437 | -0.1% |
| 2084 | 4,440 | +0.1% |
| 2085 | 4,440 | +0.0% |
| 2086 | 4,437 | -0.1% |
| 2087 | 4,430 | -0.2% |
| 2088 | 4,434 | +0.1% |
| 2089 | 4,436 | +0.0% |
| 2090 | 4,436 | +0.0% |
| 2091 | 4,434 | -0.0% |
| 2092 | 4,426 | -0.2% |
| 2093 | 4,423 | -0.1% |
| 2094 | 4,413 | -0.2% |
| 2095 | 4,407 | -0.1% |
| 2096 | 4,410 | +0.1% |
| 2097 | 4,405 | -0.1% |
| 2098 | 4,399 | -0.1% |
| 2099 | 4,393 | -0.1% |
| 2100 | 4,385 | -0.2% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 2,745 | 2,528 | 2,941 | 6 |
| 2030s | 3,271 | 3,006 | 3,498 | 10 |
| 2040s | 3,687 | 3,536 | 3,820 | 10 |
| 2050s | 3,956 | 3,844 | 4,075 | 10 |
| 2060s | 4,196 | 4,099 | 4,297 | 10 |
| 2070s | 4,390 | 4,321 | 4,435 | 10 |
| 2080s | 4,438 | 4,430 | 4,446 | 10 |
| 2090s | 4,415 | 4,393 | 4,436 | 10 |
| 2100s | 4,385 | 4,385 | 4,385 | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tokelau
- 227 Saint Barthelemy 9,252 compare
- 228 Cook Islands 7,922 compare
- 229 Wallis and Futuna 6,896 compare
- 231 Montserrat 2,799 compare
- 232 Saint Helena 2,654 compare
- 233 Niue 2,406 compare
More population data for Tokelau
- Population growth rate -0.137 (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.0709 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population density 438.5 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5 227 (2100)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.4386 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate 0.6321 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population growth rate by level of development -0.137 (2100)
- Population aged 65 years or older (thousands), annual growth rate 8.76 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is population long run with projections in Tokelau?
- Population long run with projections in Tokelau was 4,385 in 2100, according to Our World in Data.
- What is the highest population long run with projections recorded in Tokelau?
- The highest recorded value was 4,446 in 2081.
- What is the lowest population long run with projections recorded in Tokelau?
- The lowest recorded value was 2,528 in 2024.
- How does Tokelau rank for population long run with projections?
- Tokelau ranks 230th out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
- Is population long run with projections rising or falling in Tokelau?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tokelau data come from?
- The figures come from Our World in Data, published as part of Population long run with projections. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
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