Population in Tokelau
Tokelau: Population was 4,385 people in 2100. ▲ Rising
Latest (2100)
4,385 people
Change on year
down 0.2%
World rank
230th
of 236 countries
All-time high
4,446 people
in 2081
All-time low
2,528 people
in 2024
Years of data
77
2024–2100
Population in Tokelau, 2024–2100
Source: UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in people.
Analysis
In 2100, population in Tokelau stood at 4,385 people.
That represents a change of down 0.2% on the previous year and down 1.1% over ten years.
Over the whole period, population in Tokelau peaked at 4,446 people in 2081 and was at its lowest, 2,528 people, in 2024.
That places Tokelau 230th out of 236 countries with data for 2100, putting it in the bottom quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 77 years of available data.
Population in Tokelau, year by year
| Year | people | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2,528 people | — |
| 2025 | 2,632 people | +4.1% |
| 2026 | 2,715 people | +3.2% |
| 2027 | 2,787 people | +2.7% |
| 2028 | 2,866 people | +2.8% |
| 2029 | 2,941 people | +2.6% |
| 2030 | 3,006 people | +2.2% |
| 2031 | 3,078 people | +2.4% |
| 2032 | 3,144 people | +2.1% |
| 2033 | 3,201 people | +1.8% |
| 2034 | 3,250 people | +1.5% |
| 2035 | 3,302 people | +1.6% |
| 2036 | 3,359 people | +1.7% |
| 2037 | 3,410 people | +1.5% |
| 2038 | 3,458 people | +1.4% |
| 2039 | 3,498 people | +1.2% |
| 2040 | 3,536 people | +1.1% |
| 2041 | 3,571 people | +1.0% |
| 2042 | 3,607 people | +1.0% |
| 2043 | 3,642 people | +1.0% |
| 2044 | 3,676 people | +0.9% |
| 2045 | 3,712 people | +1.0% |
| 2046 | 3,743 people | +0.8% |
| 2047 | 3,768 people | +0.7% |
| 2048 | 3,793 people | +0.7% |
| 2049 | 3,820 people | +0.7% |
| 2050 | 3,844 people | +0.6% |
| 2051 | 3,859 people | +0.4% |
| 2052 | 3,890 people | +0.8% |
| 2053 | 3,922 people | +0.8% |
| 2054 | 3,945 people | +0.6% |
| 2055 | 3,971 people | +0.7% |
| 2056 | 3,995 people | +0.6% |
| 2057 | 4,014 people | +0.5% |
| 2058 | 4,041 people | +0.7% |
| 2059 | 4,075 people | +0.8% |
| 2060 | 4,099 people | +0.6% |
| 2061 | 4,117 people | +0.4% |
| 2062 | 4,140 people | +0.6% |
| 2063 | 4,162 people | +0.5% |
| 2064 | 4,184 people | +0.5% |
| 2065 | 4,202 people | +0.4% |
| 2066 | 4,231 people | +0.7% |
| 2067 | 4,255 people | +0.6% |
| 2068 | 4,274 people | +0.4% |
| 2069 | 4,297 people | +0.5% |
| 2070 | 4,321 people | +0.6% |
| 2071 | 4,343 people | +0.5% |
| 2072 | 4,365 people | +0.5% |
| 2073 | 4,384 people | +0.4% |
| 2074 | 4,397 people | +0.3% |
| 2075 | 4,402 people | +0.1% |
| 2076 | 4,411 people | +0.2% |
| 2077 | 4,420 people | +0.2% |
| 2078 | 4,425 people | +0.1% |
| 2079 | 4,435 people | +0.2% |
| 2080 | 4,440 people | +0.1% |
| 2081 | 4,446 people | +0.1% |
| 2082 | 4,443 people | -0.1% |
| 2083 | 4,437 people | -0.1% |
| 2084 | 4,440 people | +0.1% |
| 2085 | 4,440 people | +0.0% |
| 2086 | 4,437 people | -0.1% |
| 2087 | 4,430 people | -0.2% |
| 2088 | 4,434 people | +0.1% |
| 2089 | 4,436 people | +0.0% |
| 2090 | 4,436 people | +0.0% |
| 2091 | 4,434 people | -0.0% |
| 2092 | 4,426 people | -0.2% |
| 2093 | 4,423 people | -0.1% |
| 2094 | 4,413 people | -0.2% |
| 2095 | 4,407 people | -0.1% |
| 2096 | 4,410 people | +0.1% |
| 2097 | 4,405 people | -0.1% |
| 2098 | 4,399 people | -0.1% |
| 2099 | 4,393 people | -0.1% |
| 2100 | 4,385 people | -0.2% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020s | 2,745 people | 2,528 people | 2,941 people | 6 |
| 2030s | 3,271 people | 3,006 people | 3,498 people | 10 |
| 2040s | 3,687 people | 3,536 people | 3,820 people | 10 |
| 2050s | 3,956 people | 3,844 people | 4,075 people | 10 |
| 2060s | 4,196 people | 4,099 people | 4,297 people | 10 |
| 2070s | 4,390 people | 4,321 people | 4,435 people | 10 |
| 2080s | 4,438 people | 4,430 people | 4,446 people | 10 |
| 2090s | 4,415 people | 4,393 people | 4,436 people | 10 |
| 2100s | 4,385 people | 4,385 people | 4,385 people | 1 |
Countries ranked near Tokelau
- 227 Saint Barthelemy 9,252 people compare
- 228 Cook Islands 7,922 people compare
- 229 Wallis and Futuna 6,896 people compare
- 231 Montserrat 2,799 people compare
- 232 Saint Helena 2,654 people compare
- 233 Niue 2,406 people compare
More population data for Tokelau
- World population growth -0.1% (2100)
- Population regions with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Urban and rural population 2050, annual growth rate 0.6321 % change on previous year (2050)
- Population long run with projections, annual growth rate -0.1821 % change on previous year (2100)
- Un population 2024 vs 2022, annual growth rate -0.0709 % change on previous year (2100)
- Population growth rate, by level of development -0.1% (2100)
- Projected population under age 5, annual growth rate -0.4386 % change on previous year (2100)
- Number of children under 5, by world region 227 people (2100)
- Population density 438.5 people per km² (2100)
- Population aged 25-64 years (thousands), annual growth rate 4.92 % change on previous year (2025)
Frequently asked questions
- What is population in Tokelau?
- Population in Tokelau was 4,385 people in 2100, according to UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest population recorded in Tokelau?
- The highest recorded value was 4,446 people in 2081.
- What is the lowest population recorded in Tokelau?
- The lowest recorded value was 2,528 people in 2024.
- How does Tokelau rank for population?
- Tokelau ranks 230th out of 236 countries with data for 2100.
- Is population rising or falling in Tokelau?
- Over the last ten years it is down 1.1%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
- Where does this Tokelau data come from?
- The figures come from UN WPP (2024) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Population. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Population by country, available from 10,000 BCE to 2023, based on data and estimates from different sources.