Short-term population projections (2023-2050) by country
Countries reporting
38
Highest
1.07 million
Germany
Lowest
4,315
Iceland
Median
69,328
Years covered
28
2023–2050
Data points
1,148
What the numbers show
Short-term population projections (2023-2050) is currently reported for 38 countries. The highest value is 1.07 million in Germany; the lowest is 4,315 in Iceland.
The median across all reporting countries is 69,328, and the mean is 177,061.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 249.
Over the past decade 29 countries rose and 9 fell. The largest increase was in Luxembourg (up 22.8%), and the largest decrease in Bulgaria (down 6.6%).
Short-term population projections: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 1.07 million | 2050 | up 6.8% | flat |
| 2 | France | 807,108 | 2050 | up 6.9% | rising |
| 3 | Italy | 791,640 | 2050 | up 8.4% | rising |
| 4 | Spain | 618,974 | 2050 | up 15.7% | rising |
| 5 | Poland | 460,286 | 2050 | up 1.7% | rising |
| 5 | Poland | 460,286 | 2050 | up 1.7% | rising |
| 7 | Romania | 237,136 | 2050 | down 1.6% | flat |
| 8 | Netherlands | 218,829 | 2050 | up 6.2% | rising |
| 8 | Netherlands | 218,829 | 2050 | up 6.2% | rising |
| 10 | Portugal | 158,662 | 2050 | up 8.4% | rising |
| 11 | Belgium | 137,867 | 2050 | up 8.5% | rising |
| 12 | Greece | 134,527 | 2050 | up 4.4% | rising |
| 13 | Czechia | 127,886 | 2050 | down 1.5% | rising |
| 14 | Hungary | 119,614 | 2050 | down 3.9% | flat |
| 15 | Sweden | 117,444 | 2050 | up 3.2% | rising |
| 16 | Austria | 114,389 | 2050 | up 12.1% | rising |
| 17 | Switzerland | 101,291 | 2050 | up 12.0% | rising |
| 18 | Bulgaria | 89,356 | 2050 | down 6.6% | falling |
| 19 | Denmark | 70,161 | 2050 | up 2.8% | rising |
| 20 | Finland | 68,496 | 2050 | down 1.2% | rising |
| 21 | Slovakia | 67,873 | 2050 | up 3.4% | rising |
| 21 | Slovakia | 67,873 | 2050 | up 3.4% | rising |
| 23 | Norway | 62,672 | 2050 | up 9.4% | rising |
| 24 | Ireland | 60,202 | 2050 | up 18.2% | rising |
| 25 | Croatia | 50,436 | 2050 | down 2.7% | flat |
| 25 | Croatia | 50,436 | 2050 | down 2.7% | flat |
| 27 | Lithuania | 39,219 | 2050 | up 4.9% | flat |
| 27 | Lithuania | 39,219 | 2050 | up 4.9% | flat |
| 29 | Slovenia | 27,492 | 2050 | up 7.2% | rising |
| 29 | Slovenia | 27,492 | 2050 | up 7.2% | rising |
| 31 | Latvia | 23,245 | 2050 | down 3.8% | falling |
| 31 | Latvia | 23,245 | 2050 | down 3.8% | falling |
| 33 | Estonia | 17,184 | 2050 | up 3.0% | rising |
| 33 | Estonia | 17,184 | 2050 | up 3.0% | rising |
| 35 | Cyprus | 9,568 | 2050 | up 9.0% | rising |
| 36 | Luxembourg | 7,413 | 2050 | up 22.8% | rising |
| 37 | Malta | 6,486 | 2050 | up 11.3% | rising |
| 38 | Iceland | 4,315 | 2050 | up 20.0% | rising |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- European Union - 27 countries (from 2020) 5.66 million
- Euro area – 21 countries (from 2026) 4.52 million
- Euro area – 20 countries (2023-2025) 4.43 million