Short-term population projections (2024-2050) by country
Countries reporting
38
Highest
1.08 million
Germany
Lowest
4,266
Iceland
Median
69,407
Years covered
27
2024–2050
Data points
1,107
What the numbers show
Short-term population projections (2024-2050) is currently reported for 38 countries. The highest value is 1.08 million in Germany; the lowest is 4,266 in Iceland.
The median across all reporting countries is 69,407, and the mean is 177,829.
The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 253.
Over the past decade 29 countries rose and 9 fell. The largest increase was in Luxembourg (up 23.1%), and the largest decrease in Bulgaria (down 7.1%).
Short-term population projections: full country ranking
| # | Country | Latest | Year | 10-year change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 1.08 million | 2050 | up 7.1% | rising |
| 2 | France | 807,305 | 2050 | up 6.9% | rising |
| 3 | Italy | 795,663 | 2050 | up 8.1% | rising |
| 4 | Spain | 622,938 | 2050 | up 16.1% | rising |
| 5 | Poland | 463,488 | 2050 | up 1.5% | rising |
| 5 | Poland | 463,488 | 2050 | up 1.5% | rising |
| 7 | Romania | 236,459 | 2050 | down 2.2% | flat |
| 8 | Netherlands | 219,251 | 2050 | up 5.8% | rising |
| 8 | Netherlands | 219,251 | 2050 | up 5.8% | rising |
| 10 | Portugal | 158,260 | 2050 | up 9.1% | rising |
| 11 | Belgium | 137,940 | 2050 | up 8.5% | rising |
| 12 | Greece | 136,778 | 2050 | up 5.9% | rising |
| 13 | Czechia | 130,811 | 2050 | down 0.6% | rising |
| 14 | Hungary | 119,540 | 2050 | down 4.3% | flat |
| 15 | Sweden | 117,278 | 2050 | up 3.0% | rising |
| 16 | Austria | 115,100 | 2050 | up 12.1% | rising |
| 17 | Switzerland | 103,548 | 2050 | up 13.2% | rising |
| 18 | Bulgaria | 88,471 | 2050 | down 7.1% | falling |
| 19 | Denmark | 70,402 | 2050 | up 2.8% | rising |
| 20 | Finland | 68,412 | 2050 | down 1.9% | rising |
| 21 | Slovakia | 68,358 | 2050 | up 4.0% | rising |
| 21 | Slovakia | 68,358 | 2050 | up 4.0% | rising |
| 23 | Norway | 63,076 | 2050 | up 9.5% | rising |
| 24 | Ireland | 60,070 | 2050 | up 18.3% | rising |
| 25 | Croatia | 50,410 | 2050 | down 2.6% | flat |
| 25 | Croatia | 50,410 | 2050 | down 2.6% | flat |
| 27 | Lithuania | 39,874 | 2050 | up 5.4% | rising |
| 27 | Lithuania | 39,874 | 2050 | up 5.4% | rising |
| 29 | Slovenia | 27,533 | 2050 | up 7.3% | rising |
| 29 | Slovenia | 27,533 | 2050 | up 7.3% | rising |
| 31 | Latvia | 23,106 | 2050 | down 4.2% | falling |
| 31 | Latvia | 23,106 | 2050 | down 4.2% | falling |
| 33 | Estonia | 17,215 | 2050 | up 3.5% | rising |
| 33 | Estonia | 17,215 | 2050 | up 3.5% | rising |
| 35 | Cyprus | 11,633 | 2050 | up 13.8% | rising |
| 36 | Luxembourg | 7,436 | 2050 | up 23.1% | rising |
| 37 | Malta | 6,340 | 2050 | up 9.6% | rising |
| 38 | Iceland | 4,266 | 2050 | up 17.8% | rising |
Regions and income groups
Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.
- European Union - 27 countries (from 2020) 5.68 million
- Euro area – 21 countries (from 2026) 4.54 million
- Euro area – 20 countries (2023-2025) 4.45 million