Fragile states vs Nigeria: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates

Fragile states
2.44 million Persons
in 2050
Nigeria
377,460 Persons
in 2050
Fragile states rank
8th
Nigeria rank
4th

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates over time

  • Fragile states
  • Nigeria
0500.0k1.0M1.5M2.0M2.5M199020202050

How they compare

Fragile states currently reports 2.44 million Persons against 377,460 Persons in Nigeria, a difference of 2.06 million Persons.

That makes Fragile states's figure about 6.5 times Nigeria's.

Across all 43 years both countries report, Fragile states has been ahead every year.

Fragile states ranks 8th and Nigeria ranks 4th of 48 regions.

Fragile states has averaged higher in every one of the 7 decades both report.

Head to head by decade

Decade Fragile states Nigeria Difference Ahead
1990s 844,699 Persons 107,063 Persons 737,635 Persons Fragile states
2000s 1.07 million Persons 139,056 Persons 927,957 Persons Fragile states
2010s 1.32 million Persons 181,845 Persons 1.14 million Persons Fragile states
2020s 1.61 million Persons 232,152 Persons 1.38 million Persons Fragile states
2030s 1.79 million Persons 262,580 Persons 1.53 million Persons Fragile states
2040s 2.12 million Persons 320,780 Persons 1.80 million Persons Fragile states
2050s 2.44 million Persons 377,460 Persons 2.06 million Persons Fragile states

Averages of every year both report within each decade.

Frequently asked questions

Which has higher africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates, Fragile states or Nigeria?
Fragile states, at 2.44 million Persons against 377,460 Persons in Nigeria as of 2050.
What is the difference in africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates between Fragile states and Nigeria?
2.06 million Persons, with Fragile states ahead.
How many years of comparable data are there for Fragile states and Nigeria?
43 years are reported by both, from 1990 to 2050.
How do Fragile states and Nigeria rank globally for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates?
Fragile states ranks 8th and Nigeria ranks 4th of 48 regions.
Where does this data come from?
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates — Population. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.

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Fragile states vs Nigeria: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 22 August 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/compare/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-05-demographic-estimates-population/fragile-states/nigeria/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates — Population
Unit
Persons
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
246 places, 10,557 data points, 1990–2050
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. Table 5 shows figures on population, broken down by rural and urban population, as well as old-age and child-dependency ratios.