Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Fragile states

Fragile states: Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates was 2.44 million Persons in 2050. β–² Rising

Latest (2050)
2.44 million Persons
Rank
10th
of 53 regions
All-time high
2.44 million Persons
in 2050
All-time low
753,149 Persons
in 1990
Years of data
43
1990–2050

Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Fragile states, 1990–2050

1.0M1.5M2.0M2.5M1990202020501990: 753.1k Persons1991: 774.1k Persons1992: 794.0k Persons1993: 813.2k Persons1994: 833.3k Persons1995: 853.9k Persons1996: 874.4k Persons1997: 895.3k Persons1998: 916.8k Persons1999: 938.8k Persons2000: 961.8k Persons2001: 985.4k Persons2002: 1.0M Persons2003: 1.0M Persons2004: 1.1M Persons2005: 1.1M Persons2006: 1.1M Persons2007: 1.1M Persons2008: 1.1M Persons2009: 1.2M Persons2010: 1.2M Persons2011: 1.2M Persons2012: 1.3M Persons2013: 1.3M Persons2014: 1.3M Persons2015: 1.3M Persons2016: 1.4M Persons2017: 1.4M Persons2018: 1.4M Persons2019: 1.4M Persons2020: 1.5M Persons2021: 1.5M Persons2022: 1.5M Persons2023: 1.6M Persons2024: 1.6M Persons2025: 1.6M Persons2026: 1.7M Persons2027: 1.7M Persons2028: 1.7M Persons2029: 1.8M Persons2030: 1.8M Persons2040: 2.1M Persons2050: 2.4M Persons

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Persons.

Analysis

Fragile states recorded 2.44 million Persons for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in 2050. That is the highest value across all 43 years on record.

The figure is up 15.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Fragile states peaked at 2.44 million Persons in 2050 and was at its lowest, 753,149 Persons, in 1990.

Fragile states ranks 10th of 53 regions on this measure, in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently rising across the 43 years of available data.

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1990s 844,699 Persons 753,149 Persons 938,823 Persons 10
2000s 1.07 million Persons 961,774 Persons 1.17 million Persons 10
2010s 1.32 million Persons 1.20 million Persons 1.45 million Persons 10
2020s 1.61 million Persons 1.48 million Persons 1.76 million Persons 10
2030s 1.79 million Persons 1.79 million Persons 1.79 million Persons 1
2040s 2.12 million Persons 2.12 million Persons 2.12 million Persons 1
2050s 2.44 million Persons 2.44 million Persons 2.44 million Persons 1

Countries ranked near Fragile states

  1. 7 East African Community 584,959 Persons compare
  2. 8 Nigeria 377,460 Persons compare
  3. 9 United States 375,392 Persons compare
  4. 10 Pakistan 367,808 Persons compare
  5. 11 Indonesia 317,225 Persons compare
  6. 12 Brazil 230,886 Persons compare
  7. 13 Bangladesh 203,905 Persons compare

See the full ranking of 246 places β†’

More population data for Fragile states

All data for Fragile states β†’

Frequently asked questions

What is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Fragile states?
Africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates in Fragile states was 2.44 million Persons in 2050, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates recorded in Fragile states?
The highest recorded value was 2.44 million Persons in 2050.
What is the lowest africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates recorded in Fragile states?
The lowest recorded value was 753,149 Persons in 1990.
How does Fragile states rank for africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates?
Fragile states ranks 10th out of 53 regions with data for 2050.
Is africa's development dynamics (afdd) table 05 - demographic estimates rising or falling in Fragile states?
Over the last ten years it is up 15.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is rising.
Where does this Fragile states data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates β€” Population. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates in Fragile states. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 19 August 2026, from https://population.statizoid.com/stat/africa-s-development-dynamics-afdd-table-05-demographic-estimates-population/fragile-states/

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About this data

Indicator
Africa's Development Dynamics (AfDD) Table 05 - Demographic estimates β€” Population
Unit
Persons
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
246 places, 10,557 data points, 1990–2050
Last refreshed

The Statistical Annex to the annual Africa's Development Dynamics (AFDD) report is a collection of development indicators that were gathered and analysed while conducting the research that went into the report. These data are also available online for free viewing or download at https://oe.cd/AFDD-2024, a bilingual website which links to the electronic version of the Africa's Development Dynamics book in both English and French. <br><br> Table 5 shows figures on population, broken down by rural and urban population, as well as old-age and child-dependency ratios.